Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T07:58:54+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
B2 0xb2e8…9b20 crypto 445 markets active 0h ago coverage 11d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (58 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$900 (+3%) realized +$900 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -22% what you keep after slip
Net edge-22%after slip
Net WR8%break-even
Win rate95%423W / 22L
Drawdown62%max
Avg bet$73per market
Trades / day57.6pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$275
7 days+$757
14 days+$812
30 days+$812
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$812
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (58 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +8%
net ROI/market (all)-7.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 137 +4.4% -5.5% 99% 4% -4.9%
≤30d 445 +1.8% -7.9% 95% 8% -7.3%
≤90d 445 +1.8% -7.9% 95% 8% -7.3%
all 445 +1.8% -7.9% 95% 8% -7.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover57.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.9% 8% -7.3%
10% ← realistic here -16.7% 0% -16.2%
15% -24.7% 0% -24.3%
20% -32.1% 0% -31.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 2% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
79% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +2% · $-wt +2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -0% → late +4% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.5 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$5 vs −$58 · ×0.09 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.64 per $1 lost it wins $1.64
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

11d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$900
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)95%
Wins / losses423 / 22
Open positions0
Markets (closed)445 / 445
History coverage11d
Avg bet$73
Trades / day57.6
Drawdown62%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 445 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 18 $110 +$5 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 18 $121 +$13 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 18 $52 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 18 $132 +$14 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 18 $201 +$19 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 18 $201 +$10 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 18 $174 +$18 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 18 $187 +$13 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 17 $201 +$5 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 17 $40 +$3 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 17 $55 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 17 $160 +$4 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 17 $6 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 17 $150 +$8 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 17 $192 +$22 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 17 $201 +$12 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 17 $201 +$16 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 17 $201 +$19 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 17 $122 +$4 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 17 $180 +$11 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 17 $157 +$13 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 17 $201 +$8 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 17 $59 +$3 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 17 $201 +$3 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 17 $88 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 17 $88 +$6 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 17 $6 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 16 $54 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 16 $83 +$7 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 16 $20 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 16 $201 +$3 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 16 $11 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 16 $65 +$3 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 16 $123 +$9 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 16 $198 +$17 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 16 $20 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 16 $38 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 16 $57 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 16 $63 +$3 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 16 $54 +$3 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 16 $179 +$9 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 16 $48 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 15 $167 +$18 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 15 $23 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 15 $83 +$5 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 15 $102 +$6 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 15 $20 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 15 $109 +$8 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 15 $81 +$8 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 15 $10 +$1 +11%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $110 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $121 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $52 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $74 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $58 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $201 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $201 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $23 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $27 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $41 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $14 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $12 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $14 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $34 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $187 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $160 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $41 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $40 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $55 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $160 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $6 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $150 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $192 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $201 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $5 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $108 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $67 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $5 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $17 19h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1098 history records