trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on June 9? | Jun 12 | $1 | $0 | +27% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on June 4? | Jun 12 | $1 | $0 | +60% |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on June 4? | Jun 12 | $0 | +$1 | +298% |
| Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on June 5? | Jun 12 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 9? | Jun 12 | $0 | $0 | +133% |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on June 8? | Jun 12 | $0 | $0 | +71% |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on June 4? | Jun 12 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 61 million views on day 6 | Jun 12 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 8? | Jun 12 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 78-79°F on June 11? | Jun 11 | $7 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on June 11? | Jun 11 | $33 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 11? | Jun 11 | $87 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on June 10? | Jun 10 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 30°C on June 10? | Jun 10 | $1 | $0 | +10% |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on June 10? | Jun 09 | $3 | $0 | -7% |
| Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on June 9? | Jun 09 | $8 | $0 | -0% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 16 | +5.9% | -4.2% | 56% | 50% | +5.5% |
| ≤30d | 16 | +5.9% | -4.2% | 56% | 50% | +5.5% |
| ≤90d | 16 | +5.9% | -4.2% | 56% | 50% | +5.5% |
| all | 16 | +5.9% | -4.2% | 56% | 50% | +5.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -4.2% | 50% | +5.5% |
| 10% ← realistic here | -13.4% | 50% | -4.6% |
| 15% | -21.7% | 44% | -13.8% |
| 20% | -29.4% | 31% | -22.3% |