trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | +32.7% | +20.0% | 67% | 67% | +6.8% |
| ≤30d | 20 | +0.8% | -8.8% | 60% | 60% | +1.1% |
| ≤90d | 21 | -4.0% | -13.2% | 57% | 57% | -1.4% |
| all | 27 | -3.1% | -12.4% | 56% | 56% | -15.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -12.4% | 56% | -15.8% |
| 10% | -20.7% | 56% | -23.8% |
| 15% | -28.4% | 56% | -31.2% |
| 20% | -35.4% | 44% | -37.9% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $87 | $87 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Kansas City Royals vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5 | Over | 42¢ | 42¢ | $2 | $2 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-2.5) | Jun 15 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 7.5 | Jun 13 | $5 | +$3 | +64% |
| Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5 | Jun 11 | $3 | +$4 | +134% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 213.5 | Jun 09 | $5 | −$5 | -99% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 207.5 | Jun 08 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 221.5 | Jun 04 | $3 | +$2 | +70% |
| Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 10.5 | Jun 03 | $4 | +$2 | +44% |
| Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 10.5 | Jun 01 | $3 | −$3 | -98% |
| Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 6.5 | Jun 01 | $5 | +$2 | +38% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 219.5 | May 31 | $5 | +$3 | +60% |
| Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 11.5 | May 29 | $2 | −$2 | -98% |
| Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 225.5 | May 29 | $4 | +$2 | +56% |
| Hurricanes vs. Canadiens: O/U 5.5 | May 28 | $3 | +$3 | +105% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5 | May 26 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 207.5 | May 25 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 228.5 | May 25 | $4 | +$2 | +44% |
| Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 216.5 | May 23 | $4 | −$4 | -99% |
| Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 222.5 | May 22 | $4 | +$2 | +54% |
| Houston Astros vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5 | May 19 | $3 | +$3 | +96% |
| Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 11.5 | May 18 | $5 | +$2 | +52% |
| Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-3.5) | May 16 | $2 | −$2 | -98% |
| XRP Up or Down - December 8, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET | Dec 08 | $677 | +$677 | +100% |
| Solana Up or Down - December 7, 7PM ET | Dec 08 | $39 | +$39 | +100% |
| Solana Up or Down - December 7, 4PM ET | Dec 08 | $300 | +$300 | +100% |
| Solana Up or Down - December 7, 6PM ET | Dec 07 | $39 | −$39 | -100% |
| Solana Up or Down - December 7, 5PM ET | Dec 07 | $738 | −$738 | -100% |
| Solana Up or Down - December 7, 3PM ET | Dec 07 | $402 | −$402 | -100% |