Wallet analysis

2026-06-16T01:26:51+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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score
B2 0xb2e0…0082 crypto 1333 markets active 1h ago coverage 29d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 29d only
✗ bot/MM pace (87 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$24 (-0%) realized −$24 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR50%break-even
Win rate50%673W / 660L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$5per market
Trades / day87.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$6
7 days+$8
14 days−$8
30 days−$206
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$206
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (87 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-10.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 325 -1.2% -10.6% 46% 46% -7.6%
≤30d 1333 -1.4% -10.8% 50% 50% -11.8%
≤90d 1333 -1.4% -10.8% 50% 50% -11.8%
all 1333 -1.4% -10.8% 50% 50% -11.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover87.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.8% 50% -11.8%
10% ← realistic here -19.4% 50% -20.3%
15% -27.2% 50% -28.0%
20% -34.3% 50% -35.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 1% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -3% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -1% · $-wt -3% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +17% → late -20% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.6 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$4 vs −$5 · ×0.92 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.94 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

29d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$24
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses673 / 660
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1333 / 1333
History coverage29d ⚠
Avg bet$5
Trades / day87.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1333 Trades
no open positions (120 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 16 $6 +$6 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 16 $6 +$5 +83%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 16 $6 −$5 -75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 16 $3 −$3 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 15 $6 −$4 -65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 15 $6 +$4 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 15 $3 +$2 +76%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$2 -71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 15 $6 −$4 -70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$2 -68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 15 $3 +$3 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 15 $3 +$3 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 15 $3 +$3 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 15 $3 +$3 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 15 $3 +$3 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 15 $3 +$3 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$2 -74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$2 -67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 15 $6 −$4 -69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$2 -67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 15 $6 +$5 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 15 $6 −$5 -82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 15 $6 −$4 -67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 15 $3 +$3 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$2 -67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 15 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 15 $6 +$6 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 15 $6 −$4 -74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 15 $6 +$6 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 15 $6 +$6 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 15 $6 −$5 -75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 15 $3 +$2 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 15 $3 +$3 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 15 $6 +$5 +73%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 15 $3 +$3 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 15 $6 −$4 -71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 15 $6 −$5 -84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 15 $3 +$3 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 15 $3 +$3 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$2 -78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 15 $6 −$4 -68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 15 $1 +$1 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 15 $3 +$3 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 15 $6 +$6 +90%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 15 $3 +$3 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 15 $3 +$2 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$2 -67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 15 $9 +$8 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 15 $6 −$5 -87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +73%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET SELL Down 14¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET SELL Down 14¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET SELL Down 18¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET SELL Up 19¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET SELL Up 19¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $3 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET SELL Up 18¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $3 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET SELL Up 17¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET SELL Up 17¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET SELL Up 19¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records