Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T20:57:21+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B2
0xb2de…bed9
sports · 136 markets active 0h ago
0.5score
+$30 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$33 · open −$4
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$18
Realized+$33
Unrealized−$4
Win rate (resolved)41%
Wins / losses48 / 70
Est. fees paid−$20
Open positions18
Markets (closed)118 / 136
History coverage66d
Avg bet$19
Trades / day7.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 18 History 118 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$6
7 days+$4
14 days+$19
30 days−$2
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs Eintracht Spandau 42¢ 100¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+138%)
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs XLG Gaming (+1.5) XLG Gaming 44¢ 100¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+127%)
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 1 Winner Team Liquid 42¢ 88¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+110%)
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS - Game 1 Winner Vivo Keyd Stars 59¢ 100¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+69%)
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 9z 41¢ 68¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+66%)
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 FURIA 63¢ 100¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+59%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Under 51¢ 52¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+3%)
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Walczaki - Map 2 Winner K27 56¢ 56¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs TDK (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs 1WIN 40¢ 40¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Under 69¢ 64¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-7%)
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs KOLESIE (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs HOTU 68¢ 62¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-8%)
Map Handicap: HOTU (-1.5) vs KOLESIE (+1.5) KOLESIE 69¢ 60¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-13%)
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Spirit 60¢ 32¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-47%)
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Spirit 45¢ 22¢ $1 $0 −$0 (-50%)
Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - TESFED League Playoffs Fire Flux Esports 47¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs Team Heretics Academy 54¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs G2 Esports 60¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Spirit 68¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5) Spirit 66¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stage Bebop 63¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner B8 42¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 MOUZ 41¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs B8 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 B8 47¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 2? Yes 5¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 TYLOO 44¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $2 −$1 -26%
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $1 +$1 +65%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $1 $0 +48%
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5) Jun 13 $1 +$1 +57%
LoL: Galions vs Misa Esports - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $1 $0 +42%
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $1 +$1 +124%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $1 $0 +44%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-3.5) vs MOUZ (+3.5) Jun 13 $1 +$1 +105%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $1 $0 +44%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $2 +$2 +81%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $1 −$1 -99%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 13 $1 $0 +34%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $1 +$1 +73%
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play Jun 13 $3 −$1 -48%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $1 $0 +11%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 13 $2 −$1 -29%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $1 +$1 +97%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $1 −$1 -99%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $6 +$1 +20%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $4 −$1 -15%
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs KT Rolster (+1.5) Jun 13 $1 $0 +23%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $3 −$1 -17%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $2 +$2 +90%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $1 +$1 +119%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $1 −$1 -99%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $2 +$1 +62%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $2 −$2 -98%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $1 −$1 -99%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
England vs. Costa Rica: O/U 2.5 Jun 10 $1 +$1 +136%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? Jun 10 $1 $0 -2%
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 40°C on June 11? Jun 10 $1 $0 -19%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 10 $1 $0 -22%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5 Jun 10 $1 $0 -3%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 10 $1 $0 -6%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $19 +$15 +76%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $20 +$16 +79%
Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs TYLOO (+1.5) Jun 09 $20 −$19 -99%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $10 −$10 -98%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 08 $10 −$10 -98%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $10 −$10 -98%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $10 +$9 +93%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $30 +$28 +93%
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN - Map 2 Winner Jun 07 $11 +$4 +38%
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $20 +$16 +79%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $10 −$10 -97%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $3 −$3 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 35% +$99
other 32% −$2
weather 20% −$76
crypto 11% +$14
world 2% +$5
politics 0% −$10
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs TDK (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs BUY 1WIN 40¢ $1 12m
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs KOLESIE (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs BUY HOTU 68¢ $1 21m
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY Spirit 45¢ $1 22m
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Walczaki - Map 2 Winner BUY K27 56¢ $1 27m
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Spirit 60¢ $1 37m
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 41¢ $1 37m
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 1 Winner BUY Team Liquid 42¢ $1 42m
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner BUY Spirit 68¢ $1 1h
Map Handicap: HOTU (-1.5) vs KOLESIE (+1.5) BUY KOLESIE 69¢ $1 1h
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs BUY G2 Esports 60¢ $1 1h
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5) BUY Spirit 66¢ $1 2h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner BUY Legacy 67¢ $1 2h
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St BUY Bebop 63¢ $1 2h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY FURIA 63¢ $1 3h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 51¢ $1 3h
Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - TESFED Leagu BUY Fire Flux Esports 47¢ $1 3h
LoL: Galions vs Misa Esports - Game 3 Winner BUY Galions 70¢ $1 4h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Vitality 67¢ $1 4h
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS - Game 1 Winner BUY Vivo Keyd Stars 59¢ $1 4h
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs XLG Gaming (+1.5) BUY XLG Gaming 44¢ $1 4h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner BUY PARIVISION 46¢ $1 4h
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 2 Winner BUY Team Heretics Academy 52¢ $1 4h
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters P BUY Eintracht Spandau 42¢ $1 5h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner BUY Vitality 69¢ $1 5h
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5) BUY MOUZ 63¢ $1 5h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY EDward Gaming 44¢ $1 6h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play SELL EDward Gaming 24¢ $2 6h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Team Falcons 69¢ $1 6h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 69¢ $1 6h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play BUY EDward Gaming 45¢ $1 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +36%
net ROI/market (all)-20.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 54 +0.6% -8.9% 50% 50% -8.1%
≤30d 110 -17.4% -25.3% 39% 36% -8.5%
≤90d 118 -12.5% -20.9% 41% 36% -7.2%
all 118 -12.5% -20.9% 41% 36% -7.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover7.3 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -20.9% 36% -7.2%
10% -28.4% 34% -16.1%
15% -35.3% 29% -24.2%
20% -41.7% 23% -31.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $18.47 · official $18.37 (match) · 524 history records