Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T05:47:27+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B2
0xb2dd…a84b
crypto · 1359 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$63 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$63 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2
Realized+$63
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)46%
Wins / losses627 / 746
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1373 / 1359
History coverage10d
Avg bet$12
Trades / day286.7
Drawdown97%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 1373 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$955
7 days−$1,584
14 days+$63
30 days+$63
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Down 45¢ 46¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $39 $0 −$39 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 14 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 14 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 14 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 14 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 14 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 14 $0 −$1 -256%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$564
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $2 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $2 22m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 32m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 52m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $2 52m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $3 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $0 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $0 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $0 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET SELL Down 10¢ $0 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $2 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)-14.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 787 -15.4% -23.5% 39% 39% -53.5%
≤30d 1373 -5.4% -14.4% 46% 45% -8.9%
≤90d 1373 -5.4% -14.4% 46% 45% -8.9%
all 1373 -5.4% -14.4% 46% 45% -8.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover286.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.4% 45% -8.9%
10% ← realistic here -22.6% 44% -17.6%
15% -30.1% 43% -25.5%
20% -36.9% 42% -32.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2.35 · official $2.58 (match) · 3500 history records