Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T07:35:27+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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B2 0xb2cf…f9f2 crypto 602 markets active 7d ago coverage 13d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 13d only
✗ bot/MM pace (174 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$212 (-1%) realized −$212 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +4% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -20% what you keep after slip
Net edge-20%after slip
Net WR27%break-even
Win rate50%304W / 309L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$60per market
Trades / day173.6pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$61
7 days−$90
14 days−$287
30 days−$367
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$306
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (174 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +27%
net ROI/market (all)-5.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 92 -11.1% -19.6% 60% 8% -13.8%
≤30d 613 +4.1% -5.8% 50% 27% -10.4%
≤90d 613 +4.1% -5.8% 50% 27% -10.4%
all 613 +4.1% -5.8% 50% 27% -10.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover173.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -5.8% 27% -10.4%
10% ← realistic here -14.9% 2% -19.0%
15% -23.1% 1% -26.8%
20% -30.6% 0% -34.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 4% · top 2 7% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
41% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +4% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +11% → late -3% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.9 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$5 vs −$12 · ×0.43 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.81 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

13d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$212
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses304 / 309
Open positions0
Markets (closed)613 / 602
History coverage13d ⚠
Avg bet$60
Trades / day173.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 613 Trades
no open positions (17 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - May 27, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 27, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 27, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 27, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 27, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 17 $18 −$6 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 17 $6 −$6 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 27, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 17 $15 −$15 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 27, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 10 $10 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 10 $10 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 10 $26 −$2 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 10 $18 +$2 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 10 $18 +$2 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 10 $26 −$8 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 10 $37 −$2 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 10 $27 +$3 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 10 $18 +$2 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 10 $18 −$8 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 10 $23 −$4 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 10 $18 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 10 $24 −$5 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 10 $18 +$2 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 10 $18 +$2 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 10 $18 +$2 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 10 $18 +$2 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 10 $18 +$2 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 10 $18 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 10 $18 +$2 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 10 $18 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 10 $18 +$2 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 10 $23 −$4 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 10 $18 +$2 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 10 $18 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 10 $23 −$4 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 10 $24 −$5 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 10 $18 +$2 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 10 $18 +$2 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 10 $24 −$5 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 10 $18 +$2 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 10 $19 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 10 $24 −$5 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 10 $18 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 10 $18 +$2 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 10 $23 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 10 $23 −$4 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 10 $24 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 10 $27 −$6 -23%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $10 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $8 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET SELL Down 46¢ $4 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $8 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $10 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $8 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $10 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $8 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET SELL Up 41¢ $4 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $8 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET SELL Down 50¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $8 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $10 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $8 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET SELL Down 48¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $8 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $10 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $9 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $8 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $10 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $8 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $8 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET SELL Down 40¢ $4 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $4 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET SELL Up 48¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $8 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $10 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $8 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET SELL Up 44¢ $4 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $5 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records