Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T15:20:12+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B2
0xb2c2…c8c3
crypto · 367 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$25 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$71 · open +$6
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$75
Realized−$71
Unrealized+$6
Win rate (resolved)84%
Wins / losses304 / 60
Open positions3
Markets (closed)364 / 367
History coverage16d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day49.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 3 History 364 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$8
7 days−$44
14 days−$196
30 days−$71
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June? No 76¢ 88¢ $40 $47 +$7 (+16%)
Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in June? No 97¢ 97¢ $20 $20 +$0 (+0%)
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June? No 91¢ 90¢ $9 $9 −$0 (-1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Down 79¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +3%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $2 $0 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 08 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 08 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 08 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 08 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 08 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 08 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 08 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 08 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 08 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 08 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 08 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 08 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 08 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 08 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 08 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 08 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 03 $3 +$5 +158%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 03 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 03 $14 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 03 $11 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 03 $12 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 03 $9 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 03 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 03 $7 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 03 $11 −$5 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 03 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 03 $12 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 03 $13 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 03 $12 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 03 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 03 $18 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 03 $13 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 03 $14 −$5 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 03 $14 −$2 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 03 $12 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 03 $14 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 03 $19 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 03 $19 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 03 $14 −$5 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 03 $16 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 02 $15 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 02 $15 −$5 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 02 $18 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 02 $16 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 02 $8 $0 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$64
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 3¢ $5 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 1h
Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in June? BUY No 97¢ $20 1h
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June? SELL No 78¢ $14 3d
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June? SELL No 78¢ $7 3d
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June? SELL No 78¢ $11 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $1 3d
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June? SELL No 76¢ $15 3d
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June? SELL No 70¢ $14 4d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 10? SELL No 0¢ $0 4d
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June? BUY No 91¢ $9 4d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 10? BUY No 2¢ $1 4d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 10? BUY No 2¢ $0 4d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 10? BUY No 2¢ $0 4d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 10? SELL No 3¢ $2 4d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 10? BUY No 2¢ $1 4d
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June? BUY No 67¢ $13 4d
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June? SELL No 74¢ $5 5d
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June? SELL No 73¢ $6 5d
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June? BUY No 74¢ $4 5d
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June? BUY No 75¢ $4 5d
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June? BUY No 75¢ $4 5d
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June? SELL No 76¢ $5 5d
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June? SELL No 76¢ $6 5d
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June? BUY No 76¢ $4 5d
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June? BUY No 76¢ $4 5d
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June? BUY No 76¢ $4 5d
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June? SELL No 76¢ $5 5d
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June? BUY No 76¢ $4 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +21%
net ROI/market (all)-15.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 21 -91.2% -92.1% 5% 0% -94.7%
≤30d 364 -6.2% -15.1% 84% 21% -11.5%
≤90d 364 -6.2% -15.1% 84% 21% -11.5%
all 364 -6.2% -15.1% 84% 21% -11.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover49.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.1% 21% -11.5%
10% ← realistic here -23.2% 6% -20.0%
15% -30.7% 2% -27.7%
20% -37.5% 0% -34.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $75.32 · official $75.32 (match) · 1163 history records