Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T10:15:56+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
B2 0xb2c0…5420 crypto 202 markets active 6d ago coverage 6d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (55 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$60 (-5%) realized −$60 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -10% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -31% what you keep after slip
Net edge-31%after slip
Net WR45%break-even
Win rate51%104W / 98L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$6per market
Trades / day54.6pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 6d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$99
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (55 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)-19.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 55 -19.9% -27.5% 49% 49% -21.9%
≤30d 202 -10.4% -19.0% 51% 45% -17.0%
≤90d 202 -10.4% -19.0% 51% 45% -17.0%
all 202 -10.4% -19.0% 51% 45% -17.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover54.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -19.0% 45% -17.0%
10% ← realistic here -26.7% 43% -25.0%
15% -33.8% 37% -32.2%
20% -40.3% 25% -38.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 4% · top 2 8% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -8% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
12% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -10% · $-wt -8% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -14% → late -6% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.2 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$3 vs −$4 · ×0.7 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.74 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

6d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$60
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses104 / 98
Open positions0
Markets (closed)202 / 202
History coverage6d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day54.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 202 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 11 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 11 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$2 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$2 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 11 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$4 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$3 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 11 $10 +$2 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 11 $10 +$2 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 11 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 11 $7 +$3 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$2 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$3 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 11 $6 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 11 $10 +$5 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$5 +106%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 11 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 10 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 10 $5 −$2 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 10 $15 −$8 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 10 $10 +$11 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 10 $5 +$2 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 10 $5 +$3 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 10 $5 +$3 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 10 $5 +$2 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 10 $10 −$3 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 10 $5 +$2 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 10 $10 +$4 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 10 $5 +$2 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 10 $5 +$3 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 10 $10 +$6 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 10 $10 +$8 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 10 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +86%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $8 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $4 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET SELL Down 97¢ $7 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $4 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $10 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET SELL Down 80¢ $8 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET SELL Down 55¢ $9 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET SELL Down 55¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $4 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET SELL Up 70¢ $12 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $10 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $2 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 490 history records