Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T20:13:29+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B2
0xb2b4…512d
crypto · 244 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$514 +4%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$505 · open +$9
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$239
Realized+$505
Unrealized+$9
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses109 / 115
Open positions19
Markets (closed)224 / 244
History coverage5d
Avg bet$57
Trades / day712.9
Drawdown78%
Kalshi-fit92%
Chart Positions 19 History 224 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$139
7 days+$505
14 days+$505
30 days+$505
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 10¢ 11¢ $50 $52 +$2 (+3%)
Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 39¢ 62¢ $10 $16 +$6 (+60%)
Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 57¢ 68¢ $10 $12 +$2 (+18%)
Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 57¢ 62¢ $10 $11 +$1 (+10%)
Will Portugal reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 70¢ 75¢ $10 $11 +$1 (+7%)
Will England win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 69¢ 70¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+2%)
Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 69¢ 70¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+2%)
Will Portugal reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 31¢ 32¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+1%)
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 65¢ 66¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+1%)
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 72¢ 72¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+1%)
Will Spain win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 79¢ 79¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+0%)
Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 72¢ 72¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 72¢ 72¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 63¢ 62¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 54¢ 54¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Will Portugal reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 52¢ 52¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026? Yes 32¢ 32¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-2%)
Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 68¢ 66¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-4%)
Will Cristiano Ronaldo win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 4¢ 3¢ $10 $8 −$2 (-22%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $27 +$33 +120%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $113 −$113 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $111 −$111 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $37 +$23 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $38 +$82 +217%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $111 +$189 +170%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 13 $32 −$32 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $12 +$18 +152%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $91 +$88 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $53 −$53 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 13 $39 +$81 +205%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $103 −$103 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 13 $34 +$23 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $103 +$44 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $109 −$109 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $88 +$200 +229%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $37 −$37 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $101 −$51 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $101 −$101 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 13 $39 −$13 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 13 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $100 −$38 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $97 −$97 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $68 −$68 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $103 −$103 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $103 −$103 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$19 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $106 −$106 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $85 −$85 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 13 $97 +$79 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $102 +$83 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $96 +$89 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $94 −$94 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$11 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $22 +$3 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $103 +$84 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $100 +$21 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $100 +$79 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 13 $29 +$17 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $103 −$103 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 13 $100 +$61 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $54 −$54 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 98% +$505
other 2% +$9
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $14 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $6 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $1 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $4 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $1 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 21¢ $1 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 21¢ $1 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 21¢ $1 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 21¢ $0 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 21¢ $3 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 21¢ $6 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 21¢ $6 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 21¢ $5 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 21¢ $2 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $10 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $12 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $3 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $14 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $14 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $5 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $7 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $14 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $14 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $14 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $8 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $10 43m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)-4.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 224 +6.2% -4.0% 49% 47% -6.6%
≤30d 224 +6.2% -4.0% 49% 47% -6.6%
≤90d 224 +6.2% -4.0% 49% 47% -6.6%
all 224 +6.2% -4.0% 49% 47% -6.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover712.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -4.0% 47% -6.6%
10% ← realistic here -13.1% 42% -15.6%
15% -21.5% 39% -23.7%
20% -29.2% 38% -31.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $238.80 · official $238.80 (match) · 3500 history records