Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T20:58:44+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B2
0xb2a4…434f
crypto · 167 markets active 1h ago
1.0score
+$107 +4%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$147 · open −$40
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$15
Realized+$147
Unrealized−$40
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses77 / 87
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions3
Markets (closed)164 / 167
History coverage65d
Avg bet$17
Trades / day5.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 3 History 164 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$110
7 days−$98
14 days+$161
30 days+$161
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score Yes 29¢ 6¢ $39 $7 −$32 (-81%)
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 13? Yes 16¢ 11¢ $11 $7 −$4 (-34%)
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-91%)
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 11? Yes 11¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 2-8? No 3¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 6? Yes 9¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 8? Yes 16¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 13? No 23¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 8? No 23¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 13? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 11? Yes 7¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 13? Yes 30¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 6? No 22¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 5? No 4¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 8? Yes 14¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -95%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 13? Jun 13 $52 −$50 -95%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 13? Jun 13 $87 −$30 -34%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 13? Jun 12 $21 −$20 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 11 $23 −$22 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 11 $11 −$10 -95%
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $32 −$30 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 11 $21 +$9 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 11 $26 −$5 -19%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 11? Jun 10 $21 −$20 -94%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $49 +$76 +154%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 9? Jun 09 $21 +$61 +287%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 08 $8 −$8 -97%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 8? Jun 07 $9 −$9 -95%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 8? Jun 07 $26 −$25 -94%
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 2-8? Jun 07 $16 −$15 -94%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 7? Jun 07 $33 +$39 +116%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 8? Jun 07 $31 −$29 -96%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 6? Jun 05 $19 −$18 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 05 $7 +$12 +164%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 6? Jun 05 $32 −$30 -95%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 5? Jun 05 $27 −$25 -94%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 5? Jun 05 $53 +$98 +186%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 4? Jun 04 $125 −$33 -26%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 4? Jun 04 $24 +$59 +241%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 03 $44 +$32 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 03 $30 −$6 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 03 $31 −$31 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 4? Jun 03 $43 +$65 +152%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 3? Jun 03 $53 +$137 +260%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET May 07 $10 −$10 -98%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06? May 07 $5 −$5 -100%
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06? May 07 $3 −$3 -100%
Exact Score: FC Bayern München 3 - 1 Paris Saint-Germain FC? May 07 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET May 06 $20 −$5 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET May 06 $2 +$1 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET May 06 $21 −$12 -57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET May 06 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET May 06 $30 −$3 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET May 06 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET May 06 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET May 06 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET May 06 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET May 06 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET May 06 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET May 06 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET May 06 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET May 06 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET May 06 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET May 06 $10 −$10 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 97% +$191
sports 1% −$32
weather 1% −$29
other 1% −$23
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 29¢ $40 1h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 2¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $10 1h
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 13? BUY Yes 16¢ $12 6h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 13? BUY Yes 30¢ $52 7h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 13? BUY No 23¢ $32 7h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 13? SELL Yes 79¢ $195 7h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 13? BUY Yes 21¢ $56 13h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 13? BUY Yes 4¢ $21 33h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $10 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $10 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 19¢ $5 2d
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 11? BUY Yes 11¢ $32 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET SELL Up 92¢ $30 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $10 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $10 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $53 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $10 2d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 11? BUY Yes 7¢ $21 3d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 10? SELL Yes 81¢ $126 3d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 10? BUY Yes 30¢ $49 4d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 9? SELL No 89¢ $82 4d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 9? BUY No 22¢ $21 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $5 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)-15.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 18 -44.2% -49.5% 22% 22% -31.3%
≤30d 30 -8.3% -17.0% 33% 33% +7.3%
≤90d 164 -6.9% -15.8% 47% 47% -4.6%
all 164 -6.9% -15.8% 47% 47% -4.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover5.6 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -15.8% 47% -4.6%
10% -23.8% 46% -13.7%
15% -31.2% 43% -22.1%
20% -37.9% 38% -29.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $15.21 · official $23.26 · 439 history records