Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T16:12:37+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B2
0xb2a2…9f1e
crypto · 725 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$293 -8%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$376 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$40
Realized−$376
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)37%
Wins / losses274 / 460
Est. fees paid−$4
Open positions41
Markets (closed)734 / 725
History coverage114d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day27.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit81%
Chart Positions 41 History 734 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$127
7 days−$163
14 days−$165
30 days−$205
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30? No 52¢ 88¢ $2 $3 +$1 (+69%)
Will Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? Yes 46¢ 46¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-2%)
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 22, 2026? Yes 64¢ 58¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-9%)
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? No 77¢ 90¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+17%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 17? No 46¢ 48¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+4%)
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+7%)
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs INOX Division - Map 2 Winner ex-RUBY 60¢ 74¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+22%)
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%? Yes 84¢ 96¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+14%)
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 5¢ 5¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+5%)
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes 40¢ 42¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+6%)
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 11¢ 11¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+6%)
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes 27¢ 28¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+6%)
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Vitality 82¢ 86¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+4%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 19? No 47¢ 48¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+3%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 18? No 47¢ 48¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+3%)
Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the July decision? Yes 71¢ 72¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No 82¢ 82¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 3¢ 2¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-3%)
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 8¢ 8¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Netherlands vs. Japan: Netherlands O/U 4.5 Corners Over 56¢ 56¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
GMGN FDV above $200M one day after launch No 42¢ 42¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
UFC Freedom 250: Steve Garcia vs. Diego Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card) Diego Lopes 57¢ 56¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-3%)
Will João Neves score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 54¢ 52¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-3%)
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 17¢ 16¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-5%)
Will Alberta join the US? Yes 4¢ 4¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-6%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - February 20, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 18, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 18, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in London be 6°C on February 19? Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down on February 20? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -108%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Perth Wildcats vs. Adelaide 36ers Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 14 $0 −$1 -133%
Celtics vs. Warriors Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - February 19, 2AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - February 18, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 18, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 19, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Trump say "Biden" during the Black History Month reception? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -107%
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-02-15? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -270%
XRP Up or Down - February 20, 11AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - February 20, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -97%
Will Leavitt say "Shutdown" or "Shut down" during the next White House Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Coco Gauff vs Elise Mertens Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -103%
UFC Fight Night: Dan Ige vs. Melquizael Costa (Featherweight, Main Car Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - February 20, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - February 19, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bakersfield Roadrunners vs. UC Riverside Highlanders Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on February 1 Jun 14 $21 −$21 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -68%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 18, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
CA Paranaense vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: Both Teams to Score Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 12PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Lehigh Mountain Hawks vs. Navy Midshipmen: O/U 139.5 Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 18, 8PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Moyuka Uchijima vs Anastasia Zak Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - February 20, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - February 18, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Mirra Andreeva vs Amanda Anisimo Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Spread: Kansas Jayhawks (-6.5) Jun 14 $2 −$4 -166%
Spread: Portland Pilots (-6.5) Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 18, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-02-15? Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Oly Jun 14 $2 −$2 -133%
Solana Up or Down - February 20, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - February 20, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - February 20, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 62% −$377
sports 11% −$75
other 7% −$37
politics 6% −$1
world 6% −$16
tech 5% +$246
economics 1% −$3
culture 1% +$5
finance 1% −$3
weather 1% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL 9z 24¢ $0 7m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 6.5 SELL Under 83¢ $1 50m
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs INOX Division - Map 2 Winner BUY ex-RUBY 60¢ $1 56m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 48¢ $1 56m
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Sta BUY Vitality 82¢ $1 57m
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31? SELL Yes 81¢ $1 1h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL FUT Esports 99¢ $7 1h
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 2¢ $1 1h
Will Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? BUY Yes 46¢ $1 1h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? SELL Yes 15¢ $1 1h
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14? SELL No 69¢ $1 1h
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 2¢ $2 1h
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra SELL Yes 19¢ $0 1h
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14? BUY No 75¢ $1 1h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 42¢ $1 2h
Will Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? BUY Yes 47¢ $1 2h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 42¢ $1 2h
Netherlands vs. Japan: Netherlands O/U 4.5 Corners BUY Over 56¢ $1 2h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Bangladesh vs Netherlands SELL Bangladesh 100¢ $1 3h
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 2¢ $2 3h
Will Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? BUY Yes 46¢ $1 3h
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 2¢ $1 3h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 42¢ $1 4h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15? SELL No 64¢ $1 5h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Bangladesh vs Netherlands BUY Bangladesh 80¢ $1 5h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15? BUY No 55¢ $1 6h
UFC Freedom 250: Steve Garcia vs. Diego Lopes (Featherweight, Main Car BUY Diego Lopes 57¢ $1 6h
GMGN FDV above $200M one day after launch BUY No 42¢ $1 7h
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra BUY Yes 41¢ $1 7h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? BUY No 77¢ $1 7h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +26%
net ROI/market (all)-27.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 139 -40.5% -46.1% 29% 25% -52.9%
≤30d 328 -26.4% -33.4% 36% 30% -37.5%
≤90d 369 -19.9% -27.6% 39% 31% -32.7%
all 734 -19.9% -27.6% 37% 26% -18.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover27.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -27.6% 26% -18.8%
10% ← realistic here -34.5% 21% -26.5%
15% -40.8% 16% -33.6%
20% -46.6% 12% -40.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $40.42 · official $38.71 · 3500 history records