Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T19:23:07+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B2
0xb298…268b
crypto · 128 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$192 -22%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$248 · open −$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$26
Realized−$248
Unrealized−$3
Win rate (resolved)24%
Wins / losses29 / 93
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions6
Markets (closed)122 / 128
History coverage66d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day5.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit81%
Chart Positions 6 History 122 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$62
7 days−$88
14 days−$99
30 days−$217
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? Yes 51¢ 50¢ $11 $11 −$0 (-1%)
Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score Yes 54¢ 55¢ $7 $7 +$0 (+1%)
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? Yes 26¢ 26¢ $6 $6 +$0 (+2%)
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? Yes 38¢ 38¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Exact Score: Germany 3 - 2 Curaçao? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-98%)
Exact Score: Germany 3 - 1 Curaçao? Yes 9¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-99%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-16? Yes 19¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-17? Yes 28¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Both Teams to Score Jun 14 $2 $0 -4%
Sweden vs. Tunisia: Both Teams to Score Jun 14 $2 $0 -5%
Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 2 Japan? Jun 14 $1 $0 -16%
Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 1 Japan? Jun 14 $1 $0 -32%
Germany vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to Score Jun 14 $1 +$2 +223%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$13 -61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$15 -72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$5 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$4 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 13 $25 +$2 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$6 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$2 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$3 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $17 −$2 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 13 $23 −$3 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 13 $21 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$9 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $23 −$4 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$5 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 13 $21 +$7 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$10 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $26 +$8 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $26 −$10 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -95%
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $1 $0 -28%
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 13 $1 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$10 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$5 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$6 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $7 +$4 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$9 +170%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$15 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$11 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$5 +450%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$2 +178%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $3 +$9 +291%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 84% −$188
other 14% −$65
sports 2% +$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 51¢ $2 34m
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Both Teams to Score SELL No 58¢ $2 34m
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 51¢ $2 36m
Sweden vs. Tunisia: Both Teams to Score SELL No 50¢ $2 39m
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 38¢ $2 49m
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 26¢ $3 55m
Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 54¢ $5 55m
Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score SELL No 46¢ $2 58m
Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score BUY No 47¢ $2 1h
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 26¢ $2 1h
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Both Teams to Score BUY No 59¢ $2 1h
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 26¢ $1 1h
Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 2 Japan? SELL Yes 8¢ $1 1h
Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 1 Japan? SELL Yes 10¢ $1 1h
Exact Score: Germany 3 - 2 Curaçao? BUY Yes 3¢ $1 1h
Exact Score: Germany 3 - 1 Curaçao? BUY Yes 8¢ $1 1h
Exact Score: Germany 3 - 1 Curaçao? BUY Yes 10¢ $1 1h
Germany vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to Score SELL Yes 99¢ $3 1h
Sweden vs. Tunisia: Both Teams to Score BUY No 51¢ $2 1h
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 51¢ $7 2h
Germany vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 30¢ $1 2h
Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 53¢ $2 3h
Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 2 Japan? BUY Yes 9¢ $1 3h
Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 1 Japan? BUY Yes 14¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $5 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $5 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET SELL Down 57¢ $7 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $5 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $5 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $5 38h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +19%
net ROI/market (all)-36.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 50 -14.6% -22.8% 30% 26% -27.0%
≤30d 88 -28.0% -34.9% 27% 20% -38.5%
≤90d 122 -30.2% -36.8% 24% 19% -39.0%
all 122 -30.2% -36.8% 24% 19% -39.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover5.2 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -36.8% 19% -39.0%
10% -42.9% 18% -44.8%
15% -48.4% 16% -50.2%
20% -53.4% 14% -55.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $25.59 · official $25.59 (match) · 389 history records