Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T17:53:42+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B2
0xb291…6d2e
crypto · 1695 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$20 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$20 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$20
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)95%
Wins / losses1608 / 87
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1695 / 1695
History coverage67d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day26.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1695 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$14
7 days−$13
14 days−$16
30 days−$39
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +5%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on June 12? Jun 12 $1 $0 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 11? Jun 12 $3 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on June 11? Jun 11 $2 −$2 -98%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 11? Jun 11 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 10? Jun 11 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 11 $10 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 10 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 10 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 10 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 10 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 10 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 10 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 10 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 10 $10 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 10 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 10 $10 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 10 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 10 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 10 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 10 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 10 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 10 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 10 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 10 $10 $0 +3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$16
weather 0% −$4
other 0% −$2
sports 0% $0
politics 0% +$1
finance 0% $0
tech 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $10 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $10 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $10 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $10 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $10 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $10 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $10 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $10 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $10 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $10 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $10 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $10 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $10 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $10 28h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $10 30h
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on June 12? BUY Yes 82¢ $1 34h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $10 41h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $10 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $10 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $10 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 2d
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on June 11? SELL No 1¢ $0 2d
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 11? SELL Yes 2¢ $0 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 2d
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on June 11? BUY No 77¢ $2 2d
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 11? BUY Yes 87¢ $2 2d
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 11? BUY Yes 98¢ $3 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +7%
net ROI/market (all)-9.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 140 -1.8% -11.2% 94% 4% -10.5%
≤30d 545 -0.5% -10.0% 96% 3% -10.2%
≤90d 1695 -0.0% -9.5% 95% 7% -9.7%
all 1695 -0.0% -9.5% 95% 7% -9.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover26.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.5% 7% -9.7%
10% ← realistic here -18.2% 1% -18.3%
15% -26.1% 0% -26.2%
20% -33.4% 0% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records