Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T14:06:42+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
B2 0xb28a…56e0 crypto 1456 markets active 0h ago coverage 23d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 22d only
✗ bot/MM pace (89 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL −$947 (-1%) realized −$947 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate99%1443W / 19L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$84per market
Trades / day89.4pace
Kalshi-fit84%portable
Net worth$5now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$16
7 days+$16
14 days+$16
30 days−$687
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 93% −$571
other 7% −$116
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (89 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 57 +1.1% -8.5% 100% 0% -8.5%
≤30d 1462 -0.3% -9.8% 99% 0% -10.0%
≤90d 1462 -0.3% -9.8% 99% 0% -10.0%
all 1462 -0.3% -9.8% 99% 0% -10.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover89.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.8% 0% -10.0%
10% ← realistic here -18.4% 0% -18.6%
15% -26.3% 0% -26.5%
20% -33.6% 0% -33.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 0% · top 2 1% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
100% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -0% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -0% → late -0% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.4 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$94 · ×0.01 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.62 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

23d coverage
Net worth$5
Realized−$947
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)99%
Wins / losses1443 / 19
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1462 / 1456
History coverage23d ⚠
Avg bet$84
Trades / day89.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit84%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1462 Trades
no open positions (9 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 18, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +1%
HYPE Up or Down - May 23, 6AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 16, 3PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - May 22, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 23, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 15 $26 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 15 $42 +$1 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 15 $53 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 15 $20 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 15 $26 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 15 $9 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 15 $56 +$1 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 15 $39 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 15 $29 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 15 $39 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 15 $53 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 15 $16 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 15 $21 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 15 $29 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 15 $28 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 15 $26 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 15 $8 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 15 $21 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 15 $17 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 15 $18 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 15 $12 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 15 $42 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 15 $26 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 15 $14 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 15 $24 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 15 $21 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 15 $70 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 15 $8 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 15 $13 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 15 $7 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 15 $52 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 15 $32 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 15 $16 $0 +2%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 15 $26 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 15 $53 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 15 $12 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 15 $56 +$1 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 15 $26 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 15 $53 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 15 $88 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 15 $13 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 15 $19 +$1 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 15 $26 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 15 $8 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $42 3m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $20 3m
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $26 4m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $53 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $9 6m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $39 6m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $29 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $56 7m
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $26 9m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $39 12m
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $16 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $53 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $21 16m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $28 17m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $29 17m
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $26 18m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $8 22m
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $18 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $17 23m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $21 24m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $26 26m
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $12 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $42 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $21 31m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $24 32m
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $14 32m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $8 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $13 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $70 39m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $7 41m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $5.38 · official $0.00 · 3500 history records