Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T07:55:27+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B2
0xb289…07be
crypto · 379 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$11,878 -59%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$11,794 · open +$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$83
Realized−$11,794
Unrealized+$3
Win rate (resolved)32%
Wins / losses222 / 469
Est. fees paid−$21
Open positions2
Markets (closed)691 / 379
History coverage13d
Avg bet$53
Trades / day252.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 2 History 691 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$12,432
7 days−$11,829
14 days−$11,794
30 days−$11,794
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes 45¢ 46¢ $43 $44 +$0 (+0%)
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No 46¢ 50¢ $37 $39 +$3 (+7%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $179 $0 −$179 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $45 $0 −$45 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $130 $0 −$130 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $74 $0 −$74 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $37 $0 −$37 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $61 $0 −$61 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $37 $0 −$37 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $179 −$179 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $45 −$45 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 13 $130 −$130 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 13 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $37 −$37 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $61 −$61 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 13 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 13 $279 −$279 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $33 −$33 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 13 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 13 $177 −$177 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 13 $32 −$32 -100%
Canadiens vs. Hurricanes Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $34 −$34 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 13 $43 −$43 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 13 $65 −$65 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $82 −$82 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $85 −$85 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $80 −$80 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $91 −$91 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 13 $310 −$310 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 13 $28 −$28 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 13 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 13 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 13 $157 −$157 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 91% +$870
sports 9% +$196
other 0% +$3
tech 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $7 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Down 11¢ $5 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Down 7¢ $1 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Down 7¢ $0 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Down 9¢ $2 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $12 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $1 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $3 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $2 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $2 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $2 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $3 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $21 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $4 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $3 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $1 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $3 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $2 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $14 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $0 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $0 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $5 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $6 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $5 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $27 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $4 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $2 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +24%
net ROI/market (all)-51.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 555 -57.7% -61.7% 25% 19% -48.4%
≤30d 691 -46.2% -51.3% 32% 24% -41.8%
≤90d 691 -46.2% -51.3% 32% 24% -41.8%
all 691 -46.2% -51.3% 32% 24% -41.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover252.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -51.3% 24% -41.8%
10% ← realistic here -56.0% 18% -47.4%
15% -60.2% 14% -52.5%
20% -64.1% 10% -57.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $83.12 · official $83.12 (match) · 3500 history records