Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T08:00:24+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B2
0xb287…dca3
sports · 76 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$500 -9%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$612 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Net worth$3
Realized−$612
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)57%
Wins / losses42 / 32
Est. fees paid−$40
Open positions2
Markets (closed)74 / 76
History coverage29d
Avg bet$71
Trades / day17.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 74 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$6
7 days−$44
14 days−$131
30 days−$612
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner T1 58¢ 48¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-18%)
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner Gen.G 75¢ 52¢ $2 $2 −$1 (-30%)
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner T1 43¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner JD Gaming $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winner Dplus KIA 18¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Anyones Legend 23¢ $49 $0 −$49 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner KT Rolster 25¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner HANJIN BRION 81¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner KT Rolster 80¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 HANJIN BRION 70¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner Movistar KOI 58¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winner HANJIN BRION 68¢ $180 $0 −$180 (-100%)
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner JD Gaming 29¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
LoL: T1 vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 2 Winner T1 64¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Hanwha Life Esports $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner JD Gaming 11¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner Gen.G 89¢ $278 $0 −$278 (-100%)
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Anyones Legend 72¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Bilibili Gaming $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 3 Winner HANJIN BRION $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner G2 Esports $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winner HANJIN BRION 29¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner T1 58¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner KT Rolster $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winner Nongshim Red Force 75¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 14 $12 +$1 +7%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 13 $10 +$1 +5%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 13 $2 $0 +13%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $6 +$2 +26%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $2 $0 +14%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $8 +$3 +30%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $7 +$1 +13%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $7 +$1 +7%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $7 $0 +2%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $7 −$1 -15%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $19 −$12 -64%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $14 −$14 -99%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 08 $197 −$49 -25%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $174 +$11 +6%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $137 −$8 -6%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 07 $7 −$2 -24%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 4 Winner Jun 07 $86 +$46 +53%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $79 −$17 -22%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $2 $0 +3%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $60 −$3 -5%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $52 −$2 -4%
Indiana Fever vs. New York Liberty Jun 07 $104 −$46 -44%
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $76 +$30 +40%
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $61 +$16 +27%
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $55 −$17 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 06 $29 −$1 -4%
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs GAM Esports (BO5) - LCP Playoffs Jun 06 $2 $0 +9%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 06 $54 −$5 -10%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 06 $40 −$4 -10%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $65 −$39 -60%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 3 Winner Jun 06 $61 −$9 -15%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $48 −$3 -6%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $29 −$1 -3%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 06 $2 $0 +11%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $25 −$9 -36%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 06 $48 −$11 -23%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 05 $102 −$38 -37%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 05 $94 +$8 +8%
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 03 $88 +$6 +7%
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 03 $84 +$3 +4%
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 02 $78 +$6 +8%
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 02 $78 $0 +0%
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 02 $70 +$8 +11%
Minnesota Lynx vs. Phoenix Mercury Jun 02 $64 +$6 +10%
Seattle Storm vs. Dallas Wings Jun 02 $64 $0 -0%
LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX - Game 3 Winner Jun 01 $59 +$6 +10%
LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX - Game 2 Winner Jun 01 $53 +$6 +11%
LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX - Game 1 Winner Jun 01 $53 $0 -0%
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winner May 28 $28 −$28 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET May 27 $5 −$2 -40%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 99% −$612
crypto 1% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner BUY T1 63¢ $1 0m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner BUY T1 54¢ $1 1m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner SELL T1 36¢ $6 3m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner BUY T1 55¢ $2 6m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner BUY T1 66¢ $8 8m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner BUY Gen.G 74¢ $1 10m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner BUY Gen.G 76¢ $1 11m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner SELL T1 30¢ $1 17m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner BUY T1 60¢ $3 19m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner SELL Gen.G 100¢ $13 20m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner BUY Gen.G 97¢ $1 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner BUY Gen.G 96¢ $2 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner BUY Gen.G 94¢ $9 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner BUY T1 43¢ $1 1h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 94¢ $1 4h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 92¢ $1 4h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 89¢ $1 4h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 89¢ $1 4h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 95¢ $2 4h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 95¢ $1 4h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 95¢ $1 4h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 95¢ $4 4h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Bilibili Gaming 99¢ $1 19h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Bilibili Gaming 98¢ $1 19h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Bilibili Gaming 98¢ $2 19h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Bilibili Gaming 98¢ $1 19h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Bilibili Gaming 97¢ $1 19h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Bilibili Gaming 93¢ $1 19h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Bilibili Gaming 95¢ $1 19h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Bilibili Gaming 92¢ $1 19h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +28%
net ROI/market (all)-31.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 21 -30.7% -37.3% 57% 29% -18.7%
≤30d 74 -24.5% -31.7% 57% 28% -21.0%
≤90d 74 -24.5% -31.7% 57% 28% -21.0%
all 74 -24.5% -31.7% 57% 28% -21.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover17.5 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -31.7% 28% -21.0%
10% -38.2% 15% -28.5%
15% -44.2% 5% -35.4%
20% -49.6% 3% -41.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $3.18 · official $3.18 (match) · 516 history records