Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T11:42:26+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B2
0xb286…c9aa
crypto · 42 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$2,642 -12%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,670 · open +$29
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$238
Realized−$2,670
Unrealized+$29
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses24 / 22
Whale WR (big bets)25%
Open positions1
Markets (closed)46 / 42
Avg bet$505
Trades / day3459.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 46 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2,670
7 days−$2,670
14 days−$2,670
30 days−$2,670
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Up 78¢ 64¢ $191 $158 −$33 (-17%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Down 23¢ 36¢ $50 $79 +$29 (+57%)
McNeese State Cowboys vs. Vanderbilt Commodores Vanderbilt Commodores 73¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+37%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Down 61¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+64%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Down 79¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
McNeese State Cowboys vs. Vanderbilt Commodores Jun 12 $1 −$3,426 -485383%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +128%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $0 −$1 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 12 $0 −$1 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $352 −$39 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $708 −$11 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $401 −$6 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $445 −$45 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $381 +$39 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $369 +$51 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $450 +$86 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $466 +$65 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $928 −$169 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $305 −$14 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $472 +$22 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $396 +$14 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $520 −$29 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $533 +$48 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $195 −$38 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $269 +$112 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $677 −$26 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $474 +$86 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $307 +$57 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $627 +$2 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $341 +$103 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $532 +$42 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $502 +$45 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $460 +$69 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $601 −$29 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $369 +$86 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $468 +$35 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $472 −$47 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $665 +$4 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $534 −$62 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $368 +$47 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $553 +$66 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $684 −$75 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $720 −$43 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $843 −$1 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $460 +$12 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $654 +$10 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $862 −$37 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $642 −$16 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $566 −$25 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 12 $408 +$366 +90%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$786
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $24 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $13 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 6¢ $0 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 5¢ $0 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 5¢ $0 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 5¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $14 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 5¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $10 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $13 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $33 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $10 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $4 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $4 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $4 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $0 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $3 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $3 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $0 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $0 1m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +28%
net ROI/market (all)-10.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 46 -0.8% -10.3% 52% 28% -6.3%
≤30d 46 -0.8% -10.3% 52% 28% -6.3%
≤90d 46 -0.8% -10.3% 52% 28% -6.3%
all 46 -0.8% -10.3% 52% 28% -6.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3459.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.3% 28% -6.3%
10% ← realistic here -18.8% 11% -15.2%
15% -26.7% 7% -23.4%
20% -33.9% 4% -30.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $238.38 · official $233.44 · 3500 history records