trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 6 | -4.5% | -13.6% | 50% | 33% | -11.7% |
| ≤90d | 6 | -4.5% | -13.6% | 50% | 33% | -11.7% |
| all | 8 | +0.0% | -9.5% | 62% | 50% | -4.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.5% | 50% | -4.3% |
| 10% | -18.1% | 25% | -13.4% |
| 15% | -26.1% | 12% | -21.8% |
| 20% | -33.3% | 12% | -29.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 20¢ | 20¢ | $500 | $499 | −$1 (-0%) |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 10¢ | 7¢ | $50 | $33 | −$17 (-34%) |
| Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27? | Yes | 48¢ | 48¢ | $10 | $10 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 14 | $1,040 | +$286 | +28% |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 14 | $1,573 | −$353 | -22% |
| Will Julian Champagnie score 50+ points in any game of the 2026 NBA Fi | Jun 14 | $21 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Spurs lead the 2026 NBA Finals 3-1 through 4 games? | Jun 06 | $104 | −$1 | -1% |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals? | May 27 | $71 | −$70 | -99% |
| NBA Playoffs: Knicks vs. Cavaliers Total Games O/U 5.5 | May 27 | $101 | +$69 | +68% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting? | Sep 19 | $1,601 | +$229 | +14% |
| Will Kim Moon-soo win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential elect | Jun 05 | $1,417 | +$184 | +13% |