Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:57:35+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B2
0xb284…a1ee
crypto · 1230 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$780 -17%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$780 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Net worth$0
Realized−$780
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses690 / 667
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1357 / 1230
History coverage18d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day167.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1357 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$601
7 days−$718
14 days−$782
30 days−$780
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Down 58¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Up 35¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Down 57¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Up 69¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Up 79¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Up 53¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Up 73¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Down 40¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Down 53¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Down 41¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Down 65¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Down 41¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Down 52¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Up 68¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Down 78¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Up 51¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Up 39¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Down 54¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Up 78¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Up 58¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Up 39¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Up 48¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Down 92¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Down 36¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Down 53¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -147%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 12 $0 −$1 -526%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 12 $0 −$1 -572%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 12 $0 −$1 -289%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $0 −$1 -506%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$192
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET SELL Up 12¢ $0 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $1 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET SELL Up 84¢ $1 4m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $1 4m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET SELL Up 49¢ $1 5m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $1 6m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET SELL Up 74¢ $1 6m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $1 7m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET SELL Up 64¢ $1 8m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $1 8m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET SELL Up 81¢ $1 9m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $1 10m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET SELL Up 47¢ $1 11m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $1 12m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET SELL Up 90¢ $1 19m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $1 21m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET SELL Up 35¢ $1 30m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $1 31m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET SELL Up 47¢ $1 32m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $1 32m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET SELL Up 46¢ $1 36m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $1 37m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET SELL Up 90¢ $1 38m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $1 38m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET SELL Up 72¢ $1 58m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $1 59m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET SELL Up 90¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET SELL Up 82¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)-23.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 411 -37.3% -43.2% 37% 25% -36.8%
≤30d 1357 -14.9% -23.0% 51% 42% -22.7%
≤90d 1357 -14.9% -23.0% 51% 42% -22.7%
all 1357 -14.9% -23.0% 51% 42% -22.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover167.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -23.0% 42% -22.7%
10% ← realistic here -30.4% 33% -30.1%
15% -37.1% 24% -36.8%
20% -43.3% 16% -43.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records