trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 16 | -7.7% | -16.5% | 38% | 31% | -1.4% |
| ≤30d | 20 | +6.4% | -3.7% | 40% | 35% | +18.6% |
| ≤90d | 81 | -3.4% | -12.6% | 48% | 40% | -2.9% |
| all | 351 | +0.2% | -9.3% | 57% | 38% | -9.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.3% | 38% | -9.7% |
| 10% | -18.0% | 29% | -18.3% |
| 15% | -25.9% | 22% | -26.2% |
| 20% | -33.2% | 16% | -33.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23? | Yes | 66¢ | 66¢ | $50 | $50 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23? | Yes | 64¢ | 64¢ | $20 | $20 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 32¢ | 32¢ | $5 | $5 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 4¢ | 5¢ | $4 | $5 | +$0 (+6%) |
| Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw? | Yes | 13¢ | 12¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-4%) |
| Will Portugal vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw? | Yes | 12¢ | 10¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-13%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Norway vs. Senegal end in a draw? | Jun 23 | $7 | −$2 | -28% |
| Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw? | Jun 22 | $9 | −$9 | -98% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 22 | $50 | −$2 | -3% |
| Will France vs. Iraq end in a draw? | Jun 22 | $2 | −$2 | -97% |
| Will Iraq win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 22 | $3 | −$3 | -97% |
| Will Austria win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 22 | $5 | −$5 | -97% |
| Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 22 | $1 | $0 | -48% |
| Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw? | Jun 22 | $50 | +$1 | +3% |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $30 | −$16 | -52% |
| Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw? | Jun 21 | $5 | +$19 | +365% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $51 | +$37 | +73% |
| Will England win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $7 | +$5 | +73% |
| Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $3 | −$3 | -98% |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $7 | −$7 | -99% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $15 | +$7 | +44% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $5 | +$3 | +50% |
| Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $5 | +$13 | +250% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals? | May 31 | $34 | +$68 | +201% |
| NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Cavaliers vs. Pistons | May 18 | $30 | +$33 | +109% |
| Lakers vs. Thunder | May 06 | $5 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | May 05 | $30 | $0 | -1% |
| Rockets vs. Lakers | Apr 20 | $10 | +$7 | +73% |
| Magic vs. Pistons | Apr 20 | $10 | −$6 | -56% |
| Timberwolves vs. Nuggets | Apr 18 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Warriors vs. Suns | Apr 18 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Hornets vs. Magic | Apr 18 | $10 | −$9 | -86% |
| Warriors vs. Clippers | Apr 16 | $20 | +$1 | +4% |
| Trail Blazers vs. Suns | Apr 15 | $50 | +$49 | +97% |
| Heat vs. Hornets | Apr 15 | $10 | +$22 | +221% |
| Magic vs. Celtics | Apr 12 | $191 | +$2 | +1% |
| Suns vs. Lakers | Apr 11 | $20 | +$23 | +117% |
| Warriors vs. Kings | Apr 11 | $451 | −$300 | -66% |
| Clippers vs. Trail Blazers | Apr 11 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Timberwolves vs. Rockets | Apr 11 | $505 | −$50 | -10% |
| 76ers vs. Pacers | Apr 11 | $464 | +$40 | +9% |
| Pistons vs. Hornets | Apr 11 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Cavaliers vs. Hawks | Apr 11 | $10 | +$2 | +17% |
| Raptors vs. Knicks | Apr 10 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Lakers vs. Warriors | Apr 10 | $130 | +$49 | +38% |
| Celtics vs. Knicks | Apr 10 | $10 | +$10 | +101% |
| Trail Blazers vs. Spurs | Apr 09 | $512 | +$26 | +5% |
| Thunder vs. Clippers | Apr 09 | $300 | +$81 | +27% |
| Hawks vs. Cavaliers | Apr 09 | $65 | +$31 | +48% |
| Timberwolves vs. Magic | Apr 09 | $295 | +$33 | +11% |
| Timberwolves vs. Pacers | Apr 08 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Rockets vs. Suns | Apr 08 | $69 | +$183 | +267% |
| Heat vs. Raptors | Apr 08 | $10 | +$9 | +86% |
| Bucks vs. Nets | Apr 08 | $10 | −$6 | -58% |