Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T08:10:42+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B2
0xb27b…5d6e
sports · 791 markets active 1h ago
1.5score
+$65 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$61 · open +$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$73
Realized+$61
Unrealized+$3
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses365 / 419
Est. fees paid−$256
Open positions4
Markets (closed)784 / 791
History coverage92d
Avg bet$23
Trades / day20.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit87%
Chart Positions 4 History 784 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$134
7 days+$1,009
14 days+$1,266
30 days+$909
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs KT Rolster (+2.5) Gen.G 60¢ 63¢ $60 $63 +$3 (+5%)
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes 10¢ 18¢ $3 $5 +$2 (+75%)
Will J Balvin perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? Yes 8¢ 6¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-19%)
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-61%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $51 +$207 +405%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? AND Will United States Jun 13 $51 +$127 +249%
Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-8.5) Jun 13 $45 +$44 +99%
Spread: United States (-2.5) Jun 13 $50 −$50 -100%
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 158.5 Jun 13 $30 +$4 +12%
Toronto Tempo vs. Washington Mystics Jun 13 $51 +$39 +78%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $31 −$31 -100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+3.5) Jun 13 $102 −$102 -100%
Partizan vs. BC Dubai Jun 12 $59 +$89 +150%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $29 +$29 +103%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $98 −$98 -100%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $9 −$4 -40%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $102 +$214 +210%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $71 −$71 -100%
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $51 −$51 -100%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $108 −$108 -100%
Will Japan reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $20 −$3 -17%
Will OG Anunoby win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? Jun 12 $35 +$1 +3%
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? Jun 12 $67 −$9 -13%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-3.5) vs Legacy (+3.5) Jun 12 $2 +$1 +94%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $30 +$18 +59%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $30 −$30 -100%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $51 −$33 -65%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $71 −$66 -94%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $49 −$49 -100%
BC Zenit vs. Lokomotiv Kuban Jun 12 $61 +$52 +85%
Games Total: O/U 4.5 Jun 12 $14 +$3 +24%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $30 +$15 +50%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $30 +$21 +70%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $143 +$40 +28%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $30 +$25 +82%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $89 +$55 +62%
Las Vegas Aces vs. PortlandFire Jun 12 $50 +$8 +16%
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-9.5) Jun 12 $51 +$39 +76%
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-8.5) Jun 12 $81 +$61 +75%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $10 −$9 -86%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $40 +$6 +16%
Spread: Dallas Wings (-5.5) Jun 12 $57 +$47 +82%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Draw at halftime? Jun 12 $40 +$8 +19%
New York Liberty vs. Atlanta Dream Jun 12 $141 −$141 -100%
Spread: Indiana Fever (-9.5) Jun 12 $40 −$40 -100%
New York Liberty vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 165.5 Jun 12 $61 −$61 -100%
Chicago Sky vs. Indiana Fever Jun 12 $30 +$19 +62%
Chicago Sky vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 170.5 Jun 11 $34 −$2 -4%
Barcelona vs. La Laguna Tenerife Jun 11 $8 −$8 -100%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $28 −$28 -100%
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) Jun 11 $76 −$76 -100%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 3.5 Jun 11 $101 +$34 +34%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 91% +$200
other 9% −$76
world 0% −$10
politics 0% −$39
crypto 0% −$5
tech 0% −$4
weather 0% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs KT Rolster (+2.5) BUY Gen.G 60¢ $45 49m
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs KT Rolster (+2.5) BUY Gen.G 60¢ $3 49m
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs KT Rolster (+2.5) BUY Gen.G 60¢ $3 50m
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs KT Rolster (+2.5) BUY Gen.G 60¢ $3 50m
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs KT Rolster (+2.5) BUY Gen.G 60¢ $3 51m
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs KT Rolster (+2.5) BUY Gen.G 60¢ $3 51m
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner SELL Gen.G 90¢ $15 1h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner SELL Gen.G 90¢ $1 1h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner SELL Gen.G 90¢ $243 1h
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs KT Rolster (+2.5) SELL Gen.G 54¢ $48 1h
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs KT Rolster (+2.5) SELL Gen.G 30¢ $3 1h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner BUY Gen.G 17¢ $10 1h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner BUY Gen.G 8¢ $5 1h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner BUY Gen.G 8¢ $5 1h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner BUY Gen.G 29¢ $10 1h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner BUY Gen.G 29¢ $20 1h
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs KT Rolster (+2.5) BUY Gen.G 50¢ $51 2h
Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-8.5) SELL Seattle Storm 100¢ $89 3h
Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-8.5) BUY Seattle Storm 32¢ $10 4h
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 158.5 SELL Under 60¢ $24 4h
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 158.5 SELL Under 60¢ $10 4h
Spread: United States (-2.5) BUY Paraguay 71¢ $20 5h
Spread: United States (-2.5) BUY Paraguay 73¢ $30 5h
Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-8.5) BUY Seattle Storm 52¢ $4 5h
Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-8.5) BUY Seattle Storm 60¢ $30 5h
Toronto Tempo vs. Washington Mystics SELL Washington Mystics 100¢ $90 5h
Toronto Tempo vs. Washington Mystics BUY Washington Mystics 56¢ $20 11h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 43¢ $31 11h
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 158.5 BUY Under 53¢ $30 12h
Toronto Tempo vs. Washington Mystics BUY Washington Mystics 55¢ $30 12h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-15.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 171 +10.6% +0.1% 60% 55% +1.9%
≤30d 370 -2.2% -11.5% 52% 48% -2.5%
≤90d 762 -9.4% -18.1% 45% 43% -9.4%
all 784 -7.0% -15.9% 47% 44% -9.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover20.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.9% 44% -9.2%
10% ← realistic here -23.9% 41% -17.9%
15% -31.3% 38% -25.8%
20% -38.0% 33% -33.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $73.06 · official $73.06 (match) · 2313 history records