trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $5 | +$6 | +109% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $3 | −$3 | -99% |
| Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? | Jun 11 | $2 | −$2 | -98% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $20 | +$8 | +41% |
| FC Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Score | Apr 08 | $30 | −$30 | -99% |
| Will Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw? | Apr 07 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET | Apr 06 | $2 | −$2 | -93% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET | Apr 06 | $2 | −$2 | -93% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET | Apr 06 | $2 | +$2 | +113% |
| EC Bahia vs. SE Palmeiras: Both Teams to Score | Apr 06 | $5 | +$4 | +79% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET | Apr 05 | $2 | −$2 | -96% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET | Apr 05 | $2 | +$3 | +164% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET | Apr 05 | $2 | +$1 | +57% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET | Apr 05 | $2 | +$2 | +79% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET | Apr 05 | $1 | −$1 | -93% |
| Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-04-02? | Apr 02 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will SC Internacional win on 2026-04-01? | Apr 01 | $10 | +$5 | +48% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-03-31? | Apr 01 | $20 | +$16 | +80% |
| Rams vs. Seahawks | Jan 25 | $31 | −$31 | -100% |
| Spread: Seahawks (-2.5) | Jan 25 | $30 | −$30 | -100% |
| Seeker FDV above $400M one day after launch? | Jan 22 | $9 | +$3 | +33% |
| Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026? | Jan 21 | $12 | −$12 | -100% |
| Raptors vs. Warriors | Jan 21 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Spread: Patriots (-3.5) | Jan 18 | $14 | +$14 | +102% |
| Spread: Seahawks (-7.5) | Jan 18 | $32 | −$16 | -50% |
| Bills vs. Broncos | Jan 18 | $15 | +$13 | +85% |
| Texans vs. Steelers: O/U 36.5 | Jan 12 | $12 | −$12 | -100% |
| 49ers vs. Eagles: O/U 43.5 | Jan 11 | $12 | −$12 | -100% |
| Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19? | Jan 11 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Packers vs. Bears | Jan 11 | $12 | −$12 | -100% |
| Spread: Rams (-10.5) | Jan 11 | $12 | +$11 | +89% |
| Spread: Indiana (-3.5) | Jan 11 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Sep 20 | $15 | −$15 | -100% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | -12.4% | -20.8% | 50% | 50% | +16.9% |
| ≤30d | 4 | -12.4% | -20.8% | 50% | 50% | +16.9% |
| ≤90d | 18 | -7.2% | -16.0% | 50% | 50% | -16.6% |
| all | 33 | -27.9% | -34.8% | 39% | 39% | -48.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -34.8% | 39% | -48.1% |
| 10% | -41.0% | 39% | -53.1% |
| 15% | -46.7% | 36% | -57.6% |
| 20% | -51.9% | 30% | -61.8% |