trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Germany (-3.5) | Germany | 49¢ | 48¢ | $30 | $29 | −$1 (-3%) |
| Will Lamine Yamal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 4¢ | 5¢ | $20 | $27 | +$7 (+35%) |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | No | 43¢ | 42¢ | $20 | $19 | −$1 (-3%) |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 17¢ | 17¢ | $10 | $10 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 16¢ | 16¢ | $10 | $10 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 11¢ | 11¢ | $10 | $10 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 8¢ | 8¢ | $10 | $10 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 8¢ | 8¢ | $10 | $10 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 | Over | 44¢ | 44¢ | $10 | $10 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | No | 19¢ | 18¢ | $10 | $10 | −$0 (-3%) |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 5¢ | 5¢ | $10 | $10 | −$0 (-3%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $21 | +$18 | +85% |
| Spread: United States (-2.5) | Jun 13 | $10 | +$6 | +58% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $10 | +$9 | +85% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | +32.0% | +19.4% | 75% | 75% | +29.6% |
| ≤30d | 4 | +32.0% | +19.4% | 75% | 75% | +29.6% |
| ≤90d | 4 | +32.0% | +19.4% | 75% | 75% | +29.6% |
| all | 4 | +32.0% | +19.4% | 75% | 75% | +29.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +19.4% | 75% | +29.6% |
| 10% | +8.0% | 75% | +17.2% |
| 15% | -2.4% | 75% | +5.8% |
| 20% | -12.0% | 75% | -4.5% |