Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T08:40:55+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B2
0xb25e…a93b
weather · 467 markets active 1h ago
1.0score
+$303 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$256 · open +$45
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP weather specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$175
Realized+$256
Unrealized+$45
Win rate (resolved)57%
Wins / losses263 / 199
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions5
Markets (closed)462 / 467
History coverage148d
Avg bet$34
Trades / day20.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 5 History 462 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$16
7 days+$87
14 days+$326
30 days+$572
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 13? Yes 25¢ 100¢ $44 $172 +$128 (+292%)
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 13? Yes 23¢ 1¢ $55 $2 −$54 (-97%)
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 13? Yes 6¢ 0¢ $19 $1 −$18 (-95%)
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 13? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-93%)
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C or below on June 13? Yes 6¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-99%)
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C on May 23? Yes 18¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on May 2? Yes 30¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on May 6? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 8? Yes 6¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 30-31°F on February 23? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on March 7? Yes 17¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 16? Yes 33¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 11? Yes 23¢ 0¢ $46 $0 −$46 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on May 21? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on April 28? Yes 30¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 10? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 5? Yes 6¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on June 9? Yes 9¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 5? Yes 13¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 1? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 44-45°F on February 23? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C on May 13? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 8? Yes 21¢ 0¢ $33 $0 −$33 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 12? Jun 12 $13 −$13 -96%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on June 12? Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on June 11? Jun 11 $33 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 11? Jun 11 $58 +$102 +177%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 11? Jun 11 $75 −$75 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 11? Jun 11 $75 +$10 +13%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on June 11? Jun 11 $12 $0 +3%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on June 11? Jun 11 $12 +$3 +22%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 11? Jun 11 $48 −$46 -97%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on June 11? Jun 11 $4 +$1 +23%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 11? Jun 10 $13 −$13 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 30°C on June 10? Jun 10 $6 −$6 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 10? Jun 10 $55 −$5 -9%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on June 10? Jun 10 $17 +$7 +39%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 10? Jun 10 $27 +$7 +27%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on June 10? Jun 09 $1 $0 -0%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 10? Jun 09 $13 +$11 +91%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on June 9? Jun 09 $17 +$31 +177%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 9? Jun 09 $38 −$38 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on June 9? Jun 09 $4 −$4 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 9? Jun 09 $2 −$2 -90%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on June 9? Jun 09 $13 −$13 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on June 9? Jun 09 $37 −$37 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on June 8? Jun 09 $154 +$18 +11%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on June 8? Jun 08 $10 +$3 +30%
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on June 8? Jun 08 $2 +$2 +91%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 8? Jun 08 $65 +$103 +160%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 8? Jun 08 $61 +$72 +118%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 8? Jun 08 $53 −$7 -13%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 8? Jun 08 $5 −$5 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on June 8? Jun 08 $95 +$5 +5%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 8? Jun 08 $9 −$8 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 8? Jun 08 $31 −$30 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 8? Jun 08 $51 −$50 -98%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on June 7? Jun 07 $73 +$10 +13%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 7? Jun 07 $91 +$2 +3%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 7? Jun 07 $57 −$56 -99%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on June 7? Jun 07 $193 +$127 +66%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 7? Jun 07 $43 −$38 -88%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 7? Jun 07 $20 +$4 +21%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on June 7? Jun 07 $0 $0 +6%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on June 7? Jun 07 $13 +$1 +10%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on June 7? Jun 07 $71 +$12 +17%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 7? Jun 06 $9 +$5 +54%
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 35°C on June 6? Jun 06 $11 +$1 +11%
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on June 6? Jun 06 $14 +$4 +29%
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on June 6? Jun 06 $14 +$3 +24%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 6? Jun 06 $2 −$2 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 6? Jun 06 $41 +$9 +22%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
weather 97% +$580
crypto 2% −$304
sports 1% +$26
other 1% +$8
politics 0% $0
world 0% −$10
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 13? BUY Yes 0¢ $1 1h
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 13? BUY Yes 15¢ $1 1h
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 13? BUY Yes 15¢ $1 1h
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 13? BUY Yes 15¢ $6 1h
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 13? BUY Yes 15¢ $1 1h
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 13? BUY Yes 1¢ $2 1h
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C or below on June 13? BUY Yes 6¢ $10 1h
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C or below on June 13? SELL No 53¢ $14 2h
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C or below on June 13? SELL No 53¢ $3 2h
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C or below on June 13? SELL No 53¢ $2 2h
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C or below on June 13? SELL No 53¢ $17 2h
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 13? SELL Yes 40¢ $4 2h
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C or below on June 13? BUY No 39¢ $5 3h
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C or below on June 13? BUY No 44¢ $14 3h
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C or below on June 13? BUY No 63¢ $17 4h
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C or below on June 13? SELL No 75¢ $10 4h
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C or below on June 13? SELL No 75¢ $1 4h
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C or below on June 13? SELL No 75¢ $52 4h
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C or below on June 13? BUY No 68¢ $9 5h
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C or below on June 13? BUY No 68¢ $9 5h
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C or below on June 13? BUY No 68¢ $8 5h
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C or below on June 13? BUY No 69¢ $2 5h
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C or below on June 13? BUY No 69¢ $18 5h
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C or below on June 13? BUY No 69¢ $11 5h
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 13? BUY Yes 8¢ $1 6h
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 13? BUY Yes 10¢ $18 9h
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 13? BUY Yes 25¢ $5 9h
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 13? BUY Yes 25¢ $10 9h
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 13? BUY Yes 30¢ $15 9h
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 13? BUY Yes 25¢ $1 9h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)-1.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 46 -13.4% -21.7% 54% 41% -4.8%
≤30d 242 +10.1% -0.4% 56% 41% -4.7%
≤90d 398 +13.3% +2.5% 57% 41% -6.8%
all 462 +8.5% -1.8% 57% 41% -9.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover20.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -1.8% 41% -9.7%
10% ← realistic here -11.2% 27% -18.3%
15% -19.8% 19% -26.2%
20% -27.6% 15% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $174.58 · official $174.58 (match) · 3049 history records