Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T13:07:00+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B2
0xb255…d12e
other · 266 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$88 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$99 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$50
Realized−$99
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)7%
Wins / losses18 / 247
Whale WR (big bets)0%
Est. fees paid−$9
Open positions1
Markets (closed)265 / 266
History coverage136d
Avg bet$193
Trades / day10.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit62%
Chart Positions 1 History 265 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$7
7 days−$16
14 days−$23
30 days−$37
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? No 99¢ 99¢ $50 $50 −$0 (-0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the Houston Astros win the 2026 World Series? Jun 14 $516 −$1 -0%
Will New York City FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 14 $173 $0 -0%
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Jun 14 $230 $0 -0%
Will the Detroit Tigers win the 2026 World Series? Jun 13 $497 −$1 -0%
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 13 $605 −$1 -0%
Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 13 $285 −$1 -0%
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 13 $212 $0 -0%
Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2 Jun 13 $156 $0 -0%
Will the San Diego Padres win the 2026 World Series? Jun 12 $51 $0 -0%
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 12 $457 −$1 -0%
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 12 $165 −$1 -0%
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 12 $221 $0 -0%
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 12 $52 $0 -0%
Will the Washington Commanders win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 12 $413 −$1 -0%
Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series? Jun 12 $768 −$1 -0%
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $328 $0 -0%
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 11 $245 −$1 -0%
Will Charlotte FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 11 $106 $0 -0%
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Jun 11 $343 $0 -0%
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? Jun 11 $238 $0 -0%
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 10 $124 $0 -0%
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 10 $326 −$1 -0%
Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 10 $53 $0 -0%
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 10 $246 $0 -0%
Will the Texas Rangers win the 2026 World Series? Jun 10 $53 $0 -0%
Will Mohammed bin Salman win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 09 $314 $0 -0%
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? Jun 08 $435 −$1 -0%
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 08 $399 −$1 -0%
Will New York Red Bulls win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 08 $115 $0 -0%
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 07 $249 $0 -0%
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 07 $192 $0 -0%
Xi Jinping out by June 30? Jun 07 $591 −$1 -0%
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? Jun 07 $179 $0 -0%
Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 07 $114 $0 -0%
Will Real Salt Lake win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 06 $344 −$1 -0%
Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2026 World Series? Jun 06 $118 $0 -0%
Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 05 $235 $0 -0%
Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2026 World Series? Jun 05 $166 $0 -0%
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 05 $368 $0 -0%
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 04 $399 −$1 -0%
Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 04 $291 $0 -0%
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 03 $167 $0 -0%
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 02 $139 $0 -0%
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 02 $363 $0 -0%
Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 02 $272 $0 +0%
Will the New York Mets win the 2026 World Series? Jun 02 $238 $0 -0%
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 01 $185 $0 -0%
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? May 31 $183 −$1 -0%
Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? May 31 $260 −$1 -0%
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? May 31 $228 −$1 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 44% −$30
sports 26% −$23
politics 7% −$9
economics 7% −$5
culture 6% −$6
crypto 4% −$20
world 4% −$5
tech 1% $0
finance 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? BUY No 99¢ $50 1h
Will the Houston Astros win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 99¢ $50 1h
Will the Houston Astros win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 99¢ $50 3h
Will New York City FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? SELL No 98¢ $50 8h
Will New York City FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? BUY No 98¢ $51 10h
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? SELL No 99¢ $51 11h
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? BUY No 100¢ $51 13h
Will the Detroit Tigers win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 99¢ $51 14h
Will the Detroit Tigers win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 99¢ $51 15h
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? SELL No 99¢ $51 17h
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? BUY No 99¢ $51 18h
Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 98¢ $51 26h
Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 98¢ $51 27h
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $51 29h
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $51 30h
Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2 SELL No 98¢ $51 35h
Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2 BUY No 98¢ $51 37h
Will the San Diego Padres win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 98¢ $51 38h
Will the San Diego Padres win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 98¢ $51 39h
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? SELL No 100¢ $51 41h
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $51 43h
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 97¢ $51 44h
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 98¢ $52 46h
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? SELL No 100¢ $52 47h
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? BUY No 100¢ $52 2d
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 98¢ $52 2d
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 98¢ $52 2d
Will the Washington Commanders win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 99¢ $52 2d
Will the Washington Commanders win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 99¢ $52 2d
Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 99¢ $52 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 31 -0.2% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.7%
≤30d 73 -0.2% -9.7% 1% 0% -9.7%
≤90d 188 -0.3% -9.8% 3% 0% -9.7%
all 265 -0.2% -9.7% 7% 0% -9.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover10.1 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.7% 0% -9.7%
10% -18.4% 0% -18.3%
15% -26.2% 0% -26.2%
20% -33.5% 0% -33.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $50.32 · official $50.32 (match) · 1428 history records