trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +1.9% | -7.8% | 100% | 0% | -7.8% |
| ≤30d | 1 | +1.9% | -7.8% | 100% | 0% | -7.8% |
| ≤90d | 1 | +1.9% | -7.8% | 100% | 0% | -7.8% |
| all | 13 | -23.1% | -30.5% | 62% | 38% | -12.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -30.5% | 38% | -12.8% |
| 10% | -37.1% | 31% | -21.2% |
| 15% | -43.2% | 15% | -28.8% |
| 20% | -48.8% | 8% | -35.8% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 11¢ | 11¢ | $150 | $149 | −$1 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Jun 25 | $392 | +$7 | +2% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $100,000 in November? | Nov 04 | $366 | +$26 | +7% |
| Will Assad remain President of Syria through 2024? | Dec 08 | $290 | +$76 | +26% |
| Will the HBO documentary identify Len Sassaman as Satoshi? | Oct 06 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| Will Germany win the 2024 Euros? | Sep 28 | $108 | −$108 | -100% |
| Nasrallah remains Hezbollah leader through Oct 31? | Sep 28 | $267 | +$72 | +27% |
| Will AfD win the most votes in the 2024 Brandenburg election? | Sep 24 | $100 | +$53 | +53% |
| Will SPD win the most votes in the 2024 Brandenburg election? | Sep 24 | $10 | +$4 | +43% |
| Will Nic Carter vs. David Hoffman have no winner? | Sep 24 | $10 | +$1 | +8% |
| Will Germany win? | Jun 27 | $114 | −$114 | -100% |
| Is $DJT real? | Jun 23 | $102 | +$12 | +12% |
| Will Germany Win vs. Scotland? | Jun 23 | $8 | −$8 | -100% |
| Will Nic Carter defeat David Hoffman? | May 27 | $50 | −$40 | -79% |