trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤30d | 1 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤90d | 5 | -7.2% | -16.0% | 60% | 0% | -28.2% |
| all | 13 | -5.2% | -14.2% | 31% | 0% | -25.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -14.2% | 0% | -25.7% |
| 10% | -22.4% | 0% | -32.8% |
| 15% | -29.9% | 0% | -39.3% |
| 20% | -36.8% | 0% | -45.3% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xi Jinping out by June 30? | Jun 27 | $110 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | May 08 | $264 | −$96 | -36% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on April 23? | May 05 | $34 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on April 3? | Apr 07 | $29 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on March 26? | Apr 02 | $27 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on March 19? | Mar 25 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Mar 06 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Mar 04 | $19 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Mar 04 | $16 | −$1 | -9% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 m | Mar 02 | $6 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Mar 02 | $19 | −$2 | -11% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 m | Feb 28 | $7 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Feb 28 | $11 | −$1 | -11% |