trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 18 | +113.2% | +92.9% | 22% | 22% | -42.7% |
| ≤30d | 18 | +113.2% | +92.9% | 22% | 22% | -42.7% |
| ≤90d | 18 | +113.2% | +92.9% | 22% | 22% | -42.7% |
| all | 21 | +82.7% | +65.3% | 19% | 19% | -44.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +65.3% | 19% | -44.8% |
| 10% | +49.5% | 19% | -50.1% |
| 15% | +35.1% | 19% | -54.9% |
| 20% | +21.8% | 19% | -59.3% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | No | 24¢ | 24¢ | $5,000 | $4,896 | −$104 (-2%) |
| Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $500 | $250 | −$250 (-50%) |
| Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $500 | $250 | −$250 (-50%) |
| Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $500 | $250 | −$250 (-50%) |
| Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $500 | $250 | −$250 (-50%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Austria win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $2,092 | +$2,929 | +140% |
| Will Jordan win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $665 | −$665 | -100% |
| Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Athletics | Jun 17 | $3,188 | +$4,109 | +129% |
| Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | Jun 17 | $1,001 | −$977 | -98% |
| Colorado Rockies vs. Chicago Cubs | Jun 17 | $103 | −$100 | -97% |
| Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $1,956 | −$1,956 | -100% |
| Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $996 | −$977 | -98% |
| Los Angeles Sparks vs. Golden State Valkyries | Jun 16 | $864 | −$854 | -99% |
| Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Athletics | Jun 16 | $236 | −$232 | -98% |
| Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 16 | $1,018 | −$1,018 | -100% |
| Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $803 | −$803 | -100% |
| Figueira Da Foz: Susan Bandecchi vs Vera Zvonareva | Jun 15 | $100 | −$98 | -98% |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $1,495 | −$534 | -36% |
| Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Neither team to score first? | Jun 15 | $50 | +$517 | +1043% |
| Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $966 | −$966 | -100% |
| Dublin: Alexis Galarneau vs Francesco Maestrelli | Jun 15 | $105 | −$103 | -98% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET | Jun 15 | $29 | +$77 | +266% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET | Jun 15 | $31 | −$30 | -96% |
| Will Trump say "The State of the Union is strong" during the 2026 Stat | Feb 25 | $290 | −$290 | -100% |
| Will Trump say "Six Seven" during the 2026 State of the Union address? | Feb 25 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| Will Trump say "Epstein" during the 2026 State of the Union address? | Feb 25 | $150 | −$150 | -100% |