Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T23:49:07+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B2
0xb228…f1ce
crypto · 36 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$2 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$2
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)39%
Wins / losses14 / 22
Open positions0
Markets (closed)36 / 36
History coverage3d
Avg bet$14
Trades / day26.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 36 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$24
7 days−$2
14 days−$2
30 days−$2
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $129 +$125 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$9 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $26 −$25 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $110 −$96 -88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $15 +$2 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$5 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $15 +$8 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$4 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$4 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$5 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$6 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $16 −$4 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$3 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 12 $16 −$3 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$7 +131%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 09 $5 +$18 +337%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 09 $5 +$24 +458%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 09 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 09 $5 −$5 -94%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET SELL Down 60¢ $19 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $5 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $5 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $104 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $14 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $104 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Up 4¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET SELL Up 46¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET SELL Down 58¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET SELL Up 98¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET SELL Up 89¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET SELL Up 91¢ $13 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET SELL Down 52¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET SELL Up 7¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 7¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 22¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET SELL Up 64¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $5 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)-20.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 36 -12.1% -20.5% 39% 39% -10.0%
≤30d 36 -12.1% -20.5% 39% 39% -10.0%
≤90d 36 -12.1% -20.5% 39% 39% -10.0%
all 36 -12.1% -20.5% 39% 39% -10.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover26.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -20.5% 39% -10.0%
10% ← realistic here -28.1% 31% -18.6%
15% -35.1% 28% -26.4%
20% -41.4% 25% -33.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 89 history records