trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 4 | -26.9% | -33.9% | 50% | 50% | -29.1% |
| ≤90d | 14 | -0.5% | -10.0% | 79% | 50% | -19.2% |
| all | 20 | +19.8% | +8.4% | 85% | 40% | -16.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +8.4% | 40% | -16.4% |
| 10% | -2.0% | 35% | -24.4% |
| 15% | -11.5% | 25% | -31.7% |
| 20% | -20.2% | 15% | -38.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UFC Fight Night: Kyoji Horiguchi vs. Manel Kape (Flyweight, Main Card) | Manel Kape | 60¢ | 60¢ | $91 | $90 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies | Jun 09 | $92 | −$91 | -99% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 03 | $89 | −$88 | -99% |
| Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Tundra Esports (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage | May 28 | $85 | +$47 | +55% |
| LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | May 20 | $126 | +$48 | +38% |
| LoL: Top Esports vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend | May 12 | $90 | −$89 | -99% |
| Will March 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record? | May 12 | $10 | $0 | +1% |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31? | May 12 | $12 | +$1 | +7% |
| Will Ethan Hawke win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | May 12 | $15 | +$1 | +4% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | May 12 | $16 | +$3 | +20% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March | May 12 | $22 | $0 | +1% |
| Hawks vs. Knicks | May 12 | $21 | +$10 | +48% |
| Thunder vs. Suns | May 12 | $39 | +$10 | +26% |
| Cavaliers vs. Pistons | May 12 | $63 | +$41 | +65% |
| Raptors vs. Cavaliers | May 12 | $87 | +$25 | +29% |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | Mar 04 | $4 | +$15 | +400% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026? | Mar 04 | $23 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Elon Musk's net worth be between $660b and $670b on January 31? | Feb 03 | $17 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January? | Feb 03 | $18 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Opendoor reach $11.50 in January? | Jan 31 | $25 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025? | Jan 08 | $15 | $0 | +0% |