Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T15:04:00+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B2
0xb218…b68f
crypto · 10 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$4 -39%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$4 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$4
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)30%
Wins / losses3 / 7
Open positions0
Markets (closed)10 / 10
History coverage2d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day4.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 10 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$5
7 days−$4
14 days−$4
30 days−$4
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$2 +173%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +18%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +83%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 44m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 3¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $1 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 19¢ $1 31h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $1 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 46h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 46h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 47h
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $1 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +30%
net ROI/market (all)-48.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 10 -42.6% -48.1% 30% 30% -47.6%
≤30d 10 -42.6% -48.1% 30% 30% -47.6%
≤90d 10 -42.6% -48.1% 30% 30% -47.6%
all 10 -42.6% -48.1% 30% 30% -47.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover4.6 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -48.1% 30% -47.6%
10% -53.1% 20% -52.6%
15% -57.6% 20% -57.2%
20% -61.8% 20% -61.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 19 history records