Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T02:28:14+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B2
0xb213…49e1
sports · 880 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$588 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$579 · open −$10
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2
Realized−$579
Unrealized−$10
Win rate (resolved)72%
Wins / losses634 / 243
Est. fees paid−$130
Open positions1
Markets (closed)877 / 880
History coverage34d
Avg bet$24
Trades / day98.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit81%
Chart Positions 1 History 877 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$210
7 days−$367
14 days−$407
30 days−$559
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays New York Yankees 17¢ 4¢ $12 $2 −$10 (-80%)
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians Detroit Tigers 14¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 13 $8 −$1 -10%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 13 $52 −$47 -90%
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians Jun 13 $33 −$25 -73%
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 13 $62 +$29 +47%
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox Jun 13 $8 +$1 +13%
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 13 $8 +$1 +16%
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Miami Marlins vs. Pit Jun 12 $40 +$14 +36%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $99 −$2 -2%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $5 $0 -1%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $2 +$25 +1326%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $75 −$53 -71%
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter Jun 12 $125 −$53 -42%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $55 +$4 +7%
Ilkley: Filippo Romano vs Jack Pinnington Jones Jun 12 $32 +$2 +6%
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Kimmer Coppejans Jun 12 $16 +$2 +13%
Ben Shelton vs. Marcos Giron: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $36 +$16 +44%
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard Jun 12 $32 +$4 +12%
Lyon: Dali Blanch vs David Jorda Sanchis Jun 12 $15 $0 +3%
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-10.5) Jun 12 $22 +$12 +56%
Las Vegas Aces vs. PortlandFire Jun 12 $19 +$1 +7%
T20 Series West Indies vs Sri lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka Jun 12 $13 $0 +1%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $32 −$1 -2%
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 12 $55 −$45 -82%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 12 $58 −$58 -100%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $19 +$4 +20%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $11 $0 +2%
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5) Jun 12 $7 +$1 +18%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 0.5 Jun 11 $9 $0 +0%
Libema Open: Panna Udvardy vs Daria Snigur Jun 11 $74 −$30 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 11 $27 +$3 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 11 $12 −$11 -91%
Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5) Jun 11 $35 +$9 +26%
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 11 $8 −$4 -53%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 11 $10 +$1 +12%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 11 $29 −$10 -35%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics Jun 11 $5 −$3 -67%
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers Jun 11 $7 +$1 +11%
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 11 $10 +$2 +17%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 11 $11 +$1 +12%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 11 $13 −$10 -81%
Will Bolivia win on 2026-06-10? Jun 11 $38 +$6 +16%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets Jun 11 $9 +$3 +38%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 11 $11 +$1 +12%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins Jun 11 $10 +$2 +15%
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres Jun 10 $15 −$9 -57%
Will England win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $15 +$1 +6%
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $23 +$1 +3%
Will Nigeria win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $51 +$4 +8%
Will Costa Rica win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $15 $0 +3%
Will Málaga CF win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $29 −$2 -6%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 81% −$452
other 17% −$118
crypto 1% −$24
world 0% +$3
politics 0% +$3
economics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays BUY New York Yankees 18¢ $7 54m
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals SELL Houston Astros 87¢ $7 54m
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays BUY New York Yankees 16¢ $5 54m
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox SELL Los Angeles Dodgers 5¢ $5 59m
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians BUY Detroit Tigers 14¢ $25 1h
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians SELL Cleveland Guardians 86¢ $8 1h
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles SELL Baltimore Orioles 97¢ $9 1h
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox SELL Boston Red Sox 98¢ $9 1h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox BUY Los Angeles Dodgers 21¢ $9 1h
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates SELL Miami Marlins 99¢ $1 1h
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates SELL Miami Marlins 99¢ $8 1h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox BUY Los Angeles Dodgers 70¢ $43 1h
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians BUY Cleveland Guardians 88¢ $8 1h
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox BUY Boston Red Sox 87¢ $8 1h
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Houston Astros 96¢ $8 1h
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates BUY Miami Marlins 85¢ $8 1h
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles BUY Baltimore Orioles 93¢ $8 1h
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles SELL Baltimore Orioles 90¢ $83 1h
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles BUY Baltimore Orioles 58¢ $54 3h
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Miami Marlins vs. Pit SELL No 99¢ $54 3h
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Miami Marlins vs. Pit BUY No 72¢ $40 3h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 0.5 SELL Over 89¢ $40 3h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 0.5 BUY Over 90¢ $5 5h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 0.5 SELL Over 91¢ $5 5h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 0.5 BUY Over 90¢ $27 5h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? SELL Yes 99¢ $27 5h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 63¢ $2 5h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 8¢ $2 5h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 88¢ $17 5h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 88¢ $4 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +51%
net ROI/market (all)-10.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 118 -0.2% -9.7% 68% 47% -22.3%
≤30d 604 -1.2% -10.6% 71% 52% -13.8%
≤90d 877 -0.5% -10.0% 72% 51% -12.0%
all 877 -0.5% -10.0% 72% 51% -12.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover98.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.0% 51% -12.0%
10% ← realistic here -18.6% 16% -20.4%
15% -26.4% 8% -28.1%
20% -33.6% 4% -35.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2.45 · official $2.45 (match) · 3500 history records