Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T16:17:42+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B1
0xb1f0…4f71
crypto · 13 markets active 1h ago
5.0score
+$85 +25%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$120 · open −$35
avoidriskycopy
✓ COPY-WORTHY crypto specialist⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$120
Unrealized−$35
Win rate (resolved)60%
Wins / losses6 / 4
Open positions3
Markets (closed)10 / 13
History coverage7d
Avg bet$26
Trades / day2.3
Drawdown29%
Kalshi-fit69%
Chart Positions 3 History 10 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days+$18
14 days+$120
30 days+$120
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Lewis Hamilton get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? Yes 9¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-99%)
Will Charles Leclerc get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? Yes 14¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? Yes 25¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 07 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 07 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 07 $20 +$7 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 07 $21 +$26 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 07 $21 +$34 +165%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 07 $25 −$25 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 07 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 07 $21 +$8 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 07 $26 +$30 +116%
Will Charles Leclerc get pole position at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Pri Jun 06 $101 +$103 +102%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 59% +$18
other 41% +$68
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
worth copying (survives realistic slippage)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +60%
net ROI/market (all)+6.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 9 +8.5% -1.8% 56% 56% -1.4%
≤30d 10 +17.8% +6.6% 60% 60% +27.0%
≤90d 10 +17.8% +6.6% 60% 60% +27.0%
all 10 +17.8% +6.6% 60% 60% +27.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.3 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +6.6% 60% +27.0%
10% -3.6% 60% +14.9%
15% -12.9% 50% +3.8%
20% -21.4% 40% -6.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.12 · official $0.12 (match) · 25 history records