Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T09:39:48+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B1
0xb1eb…48a7
crypto · 60 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$177 -10%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$177 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$177
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)38%
Wins / losses23 / 37
Open positions0
Markets (closed)60 / 60
History coverage1d
Avg bet$29
Trades / day111.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 60 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$177
7 days−$177
14 days−$177
30 days−$177
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $38 $0 −$38 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $47 $0 −$47 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $32 $0 −$32 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $31 $0 −$31 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $32 $0 −$32 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Down 80¢ 0¢ $56 $0 −$56 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $32 −$32 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $23 −$22 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $31 −$31 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $32 +$26 +80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $23 −$22 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $30 −$29 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $31 +$16 +51%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $32 −$32 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $51 +$19 +36%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $32 +$38 +117%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $25 −$24 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$14 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $48 −$47 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $38 +$32 +86%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $28 −$27 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$61 +685%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $56 −$56 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $53 +$17 +31%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $52 +$18 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $32 +$12 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $32 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $38 −$38 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $23 −$22 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $53 +$17 +33%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$6 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $48 +$22 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$14 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $52 +$18 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $25 +$45 +181%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $57 +$13 +23%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$8 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $23 +$47 +198%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $30 −$29 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $47 +$23 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$11 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $32 −$32 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $53 +$17 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $54 +$16 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $33 +$37 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $49 +$21 +43%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$177
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $10 19m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $7 19m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $4 19m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $5 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $23 21m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $5 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $9 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $20 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET SELL Up 92¢ $39 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET SELL Up 84¢ $19 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $32 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $23 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $8 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $8 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 4¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $32 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET SELL Up 67¢ $45 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $13 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $18 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 18¢ $0 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 18¢ $3 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 18¢ $2 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 18¢ $3 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 18¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $51 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $25 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)-34.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 60 -27.4% -34.3% 38% 37% -19.0%
≤30d 60 -27.4% -34.3% 38% 37% -19.0%
≤90d 60 -27.4% -34.3% 38% 37% -19.0%
all 60 -27.4% -34.3% 38% 37% -19.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover111.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -34.3% 37% -19.0%
10% ← realistic here -40.6% 37% -26.7%
15% -46.3% 25% -33.8%
20% -51.6% 15% -40.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 159 history records