trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +172.5% | +146.6% | 100% | 100% | +146.6% |
| ≤30d | 1 | +172.5% | +146.6% | 100% | 100% | +146.6% |
| ≤90d | 8 | -41.0% | -46.6% | 25% | 25% | +89.7% |
| all | 8 | -41.0% | -46.6% | 25% | 25% | +89.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -46.6% | 25% | +89.7% |
| 10% | -51.8% | 25% | +71.6% |
| 15% | -56.4% | 25% | +55.0% |
| 20% | -60.7% | 25% | +39.8% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Both Teams to Score | Yes | 39¢ | 26¢ | $21 | $14 | −$7 (-35%) |
| Will Morocco win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 20¢ | 30¢ | $4 | $6 | +$2 (+47%) |
| Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 52¢ | 64¢ | $3 | $4 | +$1 (+22%) |
| Will Canada win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 27¢ | 36¢ | $2 | $3 | +$1 (+35%) |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 19¢ | 16¢ | $2 | $2 | −$0 (-18%) |
| Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 37¢ | 8¢ | $3 | $1 | −$2 (-77%) |
| Will Ecuador win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 21¢ | 4¢ | $2 | $0 | −$2 (-79%) |
| Will Czechia win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 22¢ | 4¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-84%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 14 | $41 | +$70 | +172% |
| Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C or higher on May | May 14 | $2 | −$2 | -96% |
| Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on May 16? | May 14 | $1 | −$1 | -96% |
| Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day o | May 14 | $2 | +$2 | +99% |
| Will Trump and Xi handshake last 2–6 seconds during the day of their n | May 13 | $3 | −$3 | -96% |
| Will Trump and Xi not shake hands during the day of their next meeting | May 13 | $3 | −$1 | -39% |
| Will Trump and Xi only be photographed together during the day of thei | May 13 | $1 | −$1 | -96% |
| Will Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their | May 13 | $4 | −$4 | -99% |