Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T00:54:06+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
B1 0xb1e0…eccd crypto 71 markets active 4d ago coverage 16d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! high turnover
Total PnL −$150 (-37%) realized −$150 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -54% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -62% what you keep after slip
Net edge-62%after slip
Net WR18%break-even
Win rate18%13W / 58L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$6per market
Trades / day10.6pace
Kalshi-fit97%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$151
14 days−$154
30 days−$173
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 99% −$173
other 1% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +18%
net ROI/market (all)-58.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 53 -67.9% -71.0% 13% 13% -57.0%
≤30d 71 -54.2% -58.6% 18% 18% -48.6%
≤90d 71 -54.2% -58.6% 18% 18% -48.6%
all 71 -54.2% -58.6% 18% 18% -48.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover10.6 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -58.6% 18% -48.6%
10% -62.5% 14% -53.5%
15% -66.2% 14% -58.0%
20% -69.5% 11% -62.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 20% · top 2 38% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -43% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -54% · $-wt -43% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -23% → late -85% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.9 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$4 vs −$4 · ×1.04 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×0.23 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

16d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$150
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)18%
Wins / losses13 / 58
Open positions0
Markets (closed)71 / 71
History coverage16d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day10.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 71 Trades
no open positions (1 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$3 -47%
XRP Up or Down - May 30, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$4 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$2 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 12 $13 −$4 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$6 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$1 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 12 $16 −$8 -50%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $16 +$10 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$1 +16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$10 +232%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $13 +$9 +72%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $2 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 9¢ $1 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 3¢ $1 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 7¢ $1 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET SELL Down 43¢ $8 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $2 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $2 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 23¢ $5 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $5 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $2 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET SELL Up 62¢ $3 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET SELL Up 66¢ $3 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET SELL Up 68¢ $8 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 14¢ $2 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $2 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 8¢ $5 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Up 6¢ $2 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $2 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $5 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $5 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $5 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET SELL Down 73¢ $9 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $5 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET SELL Up 66¢ $12 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 224 history records