Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T19:23:08+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B1
0xb1c1…dc41
crypto · 894 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$121 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$371 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$371
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)58%
Wins / losses544 / 400
Open positions0
Markets (closed)944 / 894
History coverage10d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day238.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 944 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$121
7 days−$267
14 days−$371
30 days−$371
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Up 84¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs Dplus KIA Challengers (BO3) - LCK Cha Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Heroic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Valorant: NAVI Junior vs REBORN - Map 3 Winner Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Counter-Strike: illwill vs fnatic - Map 2 Winner Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$256
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $3 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $3 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 23¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $3 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +9%
net ROI/market (all)-20.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 491 -16.3% -24.3% 41% 12% -16.0%
≤30d 944 -11.8% -20.2% 58% 9% -14.9%
≤90d 944 -11.8% -20.2% 58% 9% -14.9%
all 944 -11.8% -20.2% 58% 9% -14.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover238.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -20.2% 9% -14.9%
10% ← realistic here -27.8% 4% -23.0%
15% -34.8% 3% -30.5%
20% -41.2% 2% -37.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records