trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 6 | -36.6% | -42.6% | 33% | 33% | -23.5% |
| ≤30d | 8 | -45.7% | -50.8% | 25% | 25% | -44.8% |
| ≤90d | 9 | -44.4% | -49.7% | 22% | 22% | -44.4% |
| all | 9 | -44.4% | -49.7% | 22% | 22% | -44.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -49.7% | 22% | -44.4% |
| 10% | -54.5% | 22% | -49.7% |
| 15% | -58.9% | 11% | -54.6% |
| 20% | -62.9% | 11% | -59.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5 | Over | 56¢ | 72¢ | $50 | $65 | +$15 (+29%) |
| England vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5 | Over | 47¢ | 46¢ | $27 | $27 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17? | Yes | 18¢ | 18¢ | $5 | $5 | −$0 (-3%) |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | No | 69¢ | 0¢ | $113 | $0 | −$113 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $7 | −$4 | -49% |
| Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 3.5 | Jun 17 | $28 | −$28 | -100% |
| Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5 | Jun 17 | $33 | +$32 | +97% |
| Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 1.5 | Jun 17 | $38 | +$12 | +32% |
| Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 16 | $16 | −$16 | -99% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $19 | −$19 | -99% |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | Jun 04 | $43 | −$43 | -100% |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | Jun 02 | $101 | −$46 | -46% |
| Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30? | May 13 | $30 | −$10 | -34% |