Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T04:57:06+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B1
0xb1b0…3e12
sports · 34 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$101 +27%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$105 · open −$8
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY sports specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$5
Realized+$105
Unrealized−$8
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses17 / 16
Est. fees paid−$6
Open positions1
Markets (closed)33 / 34
History coverage10d
Avg bet$11
Trades / day6.7
Drawdown37%
Kalshi-fit82%
Chart Positions 1 History 33 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$33
7 days+$8
14 days+$105
30 days+$105
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Yes 57¢ 22¢ $14 $5 −$8 (-61%)
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Monte (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Monte 13¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner BetBoom Team 45¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner FlyQuest 24¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Team Falcons 36¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner TheMongolz 54¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 83¢ 0¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MIBR (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 MIBR 17¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Aurora Gaming 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? No 63¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 14 $11 +$4 +36%
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? Jun 13 $9 −$9 -99%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $23 +$13 +58%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $25 −$25 -100%
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 13 $6 $0 -6%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $27 −$27 -100%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $20 +$3 +13%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $10 +$5 +50%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $10 +$3 +33%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $5 +$6 +109%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $21 +$2 +8%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $15 +$4 +29%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $7 +$8 +108%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $19 +$8 +44%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $27 +$17 +60%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $10 −$10 -99%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $9 +$3 +38%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $20 +$16 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 06 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 06 $1 −$1 -100%
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $12 −$12 -98%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MIBR (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $10 −$10 -98%
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $10 $0 +1%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Monte (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $11 +$2 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 06 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 06 $3 −$3 -100%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 04 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 04 $3 +$137 +4579%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 71% −$4
other 22% −$15
crypto 7% +$115
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 57¢ $14 1h
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Spurs 11¢ $2 1h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 6¢ $1 1h
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Knicks 50¢ $13 1h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 37¢ $10 4h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY No 63¢ $9 5h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Spirit 80¢ $9 6h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Spirit 52¢ $6 6h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Spirit 80¢ $16 6h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Spirit 55¢ $11 7h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL 9z 46¢ $11 7h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 23¢ $6 7h
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 1¢ $6 7h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner BUY Spirit 81¢ $25 9h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 45¢ $5 10h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 83¢ $27 10h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner SELL Gen.G 90¢ $23 22h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner BUY Gen.G 79¢ $20 22h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 72¢ $15 27h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $10 30h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? SELL Yes 85¢ $13 32h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 63¢ $10 32h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL 9z 82¢ $11 33h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 38¢ $5 33h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 5¢ $1 34h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner SELL Spirit 65¢ $23 34h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Spirit 60¢ $21 35h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 36¢ $5 36h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner SELL Team Falcons 85¢ $0 37h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner SELL Team Falcons 94¢ $19 37h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)+26.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 22 -6.4% -15.3% 59% 55% -6.9%
≤30d 33 +40.2% +26.9% 52% 42% -2.4%
≤90d 33 +40.2% +26.9% 52% 42% -2.4%
all 33 +40.2% +26.9% 52% 42% -2.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover6.7 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to15%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +26.9% 42% -2.4%
10% +14.7% 39% -11.7%
15% +3.6% 33% -20.3%
20% -6.5% 21% -28.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $5.45 · official $5.45 (match) · 74 history records