Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T02:46:21+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B1
0xb1a6…53bc
crypto · 658 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1,388 -18%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,388 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$6
Realized−$1,388
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)70%
Wins / losses483 / 209
Open positions1
Markets (closed)692 / 658
History coverage12d
Avg bet$12
Trades / day257.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 692 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,613
7 days−$1,602
14 days−$1,388
30 days−$1,388
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? Yes 96¢ 99¢ $6 $6 +$0 (+3%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 27, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $38 $0 −$38 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 24, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $42 $0 −$42 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 28, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $41 $0 −$41 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 5, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - May 27, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 14 $38 −$38 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 24, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 14 $42 −$42 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 28, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 14 $41 −$41 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 1, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 14 $41 −$41 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 21, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 14 $38 −$38 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 14 $21 −$21 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 26, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 14 $42 −$42 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 14 $39 −$39 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 14 $42 −$42 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 22, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 14 $38 −$38 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 29, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 14 $38 −$38 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 14 $42 −$42 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 1, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 14 $41 −$41 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 14 $41 −$41 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 14 $41 −$41 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 29, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 14 $43 −$43 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 30, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 14 $42 −$42 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 14 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 14 $43 −$43 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 14 $43 −$43 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 29, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 14 $22 −$22 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 14 $42 −$42 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 29, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 14 $40 −$40 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 28, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 14 $42 −$42 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 14 $43 −$43 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 24, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 14 $42 −$42 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 30, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 14 $39 −$39 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 14 $40 −$40 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 14 $42 −$42 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 1, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 14 $42 −$42 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 14 $43 −$43 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 14 $12 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 14 $12 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$33 +318%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 14 $20 +$107 +524%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $11 +$2 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $18 +$5 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$12 +119%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $12 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 14 $11 +$2 +18%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$10 +175%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $41 −$36 -88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -94%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $38 −$38 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $22 −$22 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$91
other 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $7 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 6m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $4 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $7 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Down 17¢ $3 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $3 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $3 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 5¢ $4 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 17¢ $3 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $3 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $3 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $3 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $3 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $7 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $7 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $7 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $4 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +52%
net ROI/market (all)+7.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 497 +13.3% +2.5% 67% 48% -31.0%
≤30d 692 +18.7% +7.4% 70% 52% -23.7%
≤90d 692 +18.7% +7.4% 70% 52% -23.7%
all 692 +18.7% +7.4% 70% 52% -23.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover257.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +7.4% 52% -23.7%
10% ← realistic here -2.9% 44% -31.0%
15% -12.3% 33% -37.6%
20% -20.9% 28% -43.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $6.20 · official $6.20 (match) · 3500 history records