Wallet analysis

2026-06-21T06:44:58+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

4.5
score
B1 0xb1a5…a887 other 6 markets active 1h ago coverage 399d
RISKYcopy with care ⚠ Small sample
✗ too few resolved markets (<12) to judge✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$5 (+0%) realized +$5 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -7% what you keep after slip
Net edge-7%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate100%6W / 0L
Drawdown0%max
Avg bet$235per market
Trades / day0.0pace
Kalshi-fit67%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1
7 days+$1
14 days+$1
30 days+$1
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
other 91% +$3
crypto 5% +$2
world 2% +$1
politics 2% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-7.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1 +0.1% -9.4% 100% 0% -9.4%
≤30d 1 +0.1% -9.4% 100% 0% -9.4%
≤90d 1 +0.1% -9.4% 100% 0% -9.4%
all 6 +2.5% -7.3% 100% 0% -9.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover0.0 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -7.3% 0% -9.2%
10% -16.2% 0% -17.8%
15% -24.3% 0% -25.8%
20% -31.7% 0% -33.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 31% · top 2 59% thin sample
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +0% too few recent
Fragile wins
100% wins margin < slip thin sample
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +2% · $-wt +0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early —% → late —% no data
Add-ons / DCA
1.2 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs — no data
Profit factor
— no data
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

399d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$5
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses6 / 0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)6 / 6
History coverage399d
Avg bet$235
Trades / day0.0
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit67%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 6 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-21? Jun 21 $1,249 +$1 +0%
US military action against Iran before July? Jun 19 $34 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin above $103,000 on June 13? Jun 13 $32 +$2 +6%
Will Trump apologize to Elon by Monday? Jun 08 $32 $0 +1%
Bitcoin above $113,000 on May 30? Jun 06 $32 $0 +0%
Will Nicușor Dan win by more than 12%? May 18 $30 +$2 +5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-21? SELL No 100¢ $1,250 1h
Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-21? BUY No 100¢ $1,249 1h
US military action against Iran before July? SELL No 34¢ $35 367d
US military action against Iran before July? BUY No 33¢ $30 367d
US military action against Iran before July? BUY No 33¢ $3 367d
Bitcoin above $103,000 on June 13? SELL No 19¢ $34 373d
Bitcoin above $103,000 on June 13? BUY No 18¢ $32 376d
Will Trump apologize to Elon by Monday? SELL No 100¢ $16 378d
Will Trump apologize to Elon by Monday? SELL No 100¢ $16 378d
Will Trump apologize to Elon by Monday? BUY No 98¢ $32 379d
Bitcoin above $113,000 on May 30? BUY No 100¢ $32 386d
Will Nicușor Dan win by more than 12%? SELL No 99¢ $32 398d
Will Nicușor Dan win by more than 12%? BUY No 94¢ $30 398d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 14 history records