Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T01:16:09+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B1
0xb1a0…e45e
crypto · 1569 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1,776 -27%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,748 · open −$38
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$60
Realized−$1,748
Unrealized−$38
Win rate (resolved)41%
Wins / losses630 / 910
Est. fees paid−$6
Open positions23
Markets (closed)1540 / 1569
History coverage20d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day146.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 23 History 1540 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2,796
7 days−$2,697
14 days−$2,500
30 days−$1,748
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 47¢ 48¢ $15 $15 +$0 (+1%)
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox 49¢ 52¢ $10 $11 +$1 (+7%)
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 13? Yes 5¢ 13¢ $3 $10 +$6 (+179%)
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 69°F or below on June 13? Yes 2¢ 4¢ $3 $8 +$5 (+151%)
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C or higher on June 13? Yes 1¢ 5¢ $1 $7 +$6 (+622%)
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees Boston Red Sox 49¢ 46¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-5%)
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C or below on June 13? Yes 9¢ 3¢ $4 $1 −$3 (-70%)
Israel closes its airspace by June 15? Yes 66¢ 4¢ $16 $1 −$15 (-95%)
Will Ethereum dip to $1,650 on June 12? Yes 27¢ 7¢ $3 $1 −$2 (-74%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on June 12? Yes 5¢ 1¢ $3 $1 −$3 (-79%)
Will Ethereum reach $1,700 on June 12? Yes 19¢ 2¢ $5 $1 −$5 (-90%)
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 12? Yes 16¢ 1¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-91%)
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C or higher on June 13? Yes 11¢ 1¢ $4 $0 −$3 (-88%)
Will Ethereum reach $1,750 on June 12? Yes 7¢ 1¢ $4 $0 −$3 (-89%)
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 on June 12? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-95%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $61,000 on June 12? Yes 7¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-94%)
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 on June 12? Yes 18¢ 1¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-95%)
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on June 13? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-95%)
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C or below on June 13? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-95%)
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on June 13? Yes 16¢ 20¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+22%)
Will Ethereum dip to $1,550 on June 12? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-99%)
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on June 13? Yes 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-99%)
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on June 12? Yes 10¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-99%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Kuwait win on 2026-06-05? Yes 9¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$8 -117%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -83%
Credit One Charleston Open: Dayana Yastremska vs Belinda Bencic Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
RCD Mallorca vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$5 -760%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 13 $0 −$2 -3845%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$7 -243%
Solana Up or Down - May 13, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$5 -203%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 13, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$3 -233%
Bruins vs. Sabres Jun 13 $44 −$44 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 +685%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 13 $0 −$8 -1756%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 7, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$2 -126%
Solana Up or Down - May 14, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -235%
XRP Up or Down - May 11, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$3 -204%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 20, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Spread: Rockets (-2.5) Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 19, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will SE Palmeiras vs. Santos FC end in a draw? Jun 13 $48 −$48 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 16, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $0 −$1 -205%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 16, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$2 -228%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -171%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. New York Mets Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Grand Prix Hassan II, Qualification: Pierre-Hugues Herbert vs Lloyd Ha Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 6, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Stars vs. Wild Jun 13 $49 −$49 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$2 -342%
XRP Up or Down - May 18, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 13 $0 −$1 -248%
XRP Up or Down - May 6, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $0 −$5 -5794%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$3 -183%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 13 $0 −$1 -235%
XRP Up or Down - May 16, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $0 −$1 -235%
XRP Up or Down - May 8, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$5 -260%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$2 -178%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 90% +$850
sports 5% +$122
other 2% +$63
world 1% +$4
weather 1% +$19
politics 0% +$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 13? SELL Yes 17¢ $1 15m
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on June 13? BUY Yes 16¢ $0 1h
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 13? BUY Yes 9¢ $1 1h
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 69°F or below on June SELL Yes 8¢ $1 1h
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 69°F or below on June SELL Yes 6¢ $1 1h
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 69°F or below on June SELL Yes 6¢ $2 1h
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 69°F or below on June SELL Yes 5¢ $1 1h
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 69°F or below on June SELL Yes 4¢ $0 1h
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 69°F or below on June SELL Yes 3¢ $1 1h
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 69°F or below on June BUY Yes 2¢ $1 1h
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 13? SELL Yes 9¢ $1 1h
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 13? SELL Yes 6¢ $1 3h
Will Ethereum reach $1,700 on June 12? BUY Yes 11¢ $2 5h
Will Ethereum dip to $1,650 on June 12? BUY Yes 29¢ $2 6h
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on June 12? BUY Yes 3¢ $2 6h
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 12? BUY Yes 9¢ $2 6h
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 on June 12? BUY Yes 2¢ $2 6h
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C or higher on June 13? SELL Yes 4¢ $4 6h
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 on June 12? BUY Yes 4¢ $2 8h
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? AND Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14 BUY 9¢ $8 8h
Will Ethereum reach $1,700 on June 12? BUY Yes 23¢ $2 8h
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 12? BUY Yes 20¢ $2 8h
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 13? BUY Yes 4¢ $2 8h
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C or higher on June 13? BUY Yes 10¢ $2 8h
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C or below on June 13? BUY Yes 8¢ $2 8h
Will Ethereum reach $1,750 on June 12? BUY Yes 4¢ $2 8h
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 69°F or below on June BUY Yes 2¢ $2 8h
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C or higher on June 12? SELL Yes 100¢ $15 9h
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on June 12? SELL Yes 100¢ $7 9h
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C or higher on June 13? BUY Yes 12¢ $2 9h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-17.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 414 -69.4% -72.3% 10% 10% -81.5%
≤30d 1540 -8.3% -17.1% 41% 38% -26.6%
≤90d 1540 -8.3% -17.1% 41% 38% -26.6%
all 1540 -8.3% -17.1% 41% 38% -26.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover146.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.1% 38% -26.6%
10% ← realistic here -25.0% 31% -33.6%
15% -32.2% 25% -40.0%
20% -38.9% 21% -45.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $60.06 · official $60.22 (match) · 3500 history records