Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T00:21:31+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B1
0xb197…9a01
sports · 57 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$112 -27%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$102 · open −$10
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$102
Unrealized−$10
Win rate (resolved)30%
Wins / losses17 / 39
Est. fees paid−$4
Open positions1
Markets (closed)56 / 57
History coverage67d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day1.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit86%
Chart Positions 1 History 56 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days$0
14 days$0
30 days−$6
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 40¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-99%)
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06? Yes 41¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
LoL: Movistar KOI vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Season G2 Esports 76¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs KT Rolster 18¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? Yes 40¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
UFC 328: Pat Sabatini vs. William Gomis (Featherweight, Early Prelims) William Gomis 39¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026? Yes 29¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
UFC 328: Jeremy Stephens vs. King Green (Lightweight, Main Card) Jeremy Stephens 28¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026? Yes 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026? May 16 $1 −$1 -96%
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026? May 16 $5 −$5 -97%
Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw? May 10 $5 −$5 -95%
LoL: Movistar KOI vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Season May 10 $5 −$5 -99%
UFC 328: Joaquin Buckley vs. Sean Brady (Welterweight, Main Card) May 10 $10 −$5 -51%
UFC 328: Roman Kopylov vs. Marco Tulio (Middleweight, Early Prelims) May 10 $5 −$5 -100%
UFC 328: Jim Miller vs. Jared Gordon (Lightweight, Prelims) May 10 $5 −$5 -100%
UFC 328: Yaroslav Amosov vs. Joel Álvarez (Welterweight, Prelims) May 10 $3 −$3 -100%
UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card) May 10 $7 +$10 +145%
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card) May 10 $5 +$19 +364%
UFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main C May 10 $7 +$5 +71%
UFC 328: Jeremy Stephens vs. King Green (Lightweight, Main Card) May 10 $7 −$3 -42%
UFC 328: Ozzy Diaz vs. Ateba Gautier (Middleweight, Prelims) May 10 $2 $0 +11%
UFC 328: Grant Dawson vs. Mateusz Rebecki (Lightweight, Prelims) May 10 $5 +$3 +68%
UFC 328: Pat Sabatini vs. William Gomis (Featherweight, Early Prelims) May 09 $5 −$5 -98%
Iran closes its airspace by May 8? May 07 $5 −$5 -94%
Israel closes its airspace by May 8? May 07 $5 −$4 -81%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06? May 06 $5 −$5 -98%
LoL: Fnatic vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Regular Season May 04 $5 +$3 +50%
LoL: KT Rolster vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier May 04 $10 −$10 -98%
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29? Apr 30 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Apr 26 $10 −$10 -100%
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Regular Season Apr 26 $6 +$6 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Apr 26 $10 −$10 -100%
LoL: Ultra Prime vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana Apr 26 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Apr 26 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Apr 26 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Apr 26 $5 +$3 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Apr 26 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Apr 26 $10 +$5 +49%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? Apr 24 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-14? Apr 24 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Apr 24 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Apr 24 $4 −$4 -100%
LoL: BNK FEARX vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Apr 24 $20 +$15 +76%
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Apr 13 $5 +$1 +27%
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026? Apr 13 $5 $0 -8%
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament? Apr 13 $10 +$18 +177%
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Secret Whales (BO3) - LCP Regular Seaso Apr 12 $5 −$5 -100%
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Apr 12 $1 −$1 -52%
UFC 327: Patricio Pitbull vs. Aaron Pico (Featherweight, Prelims) Apr 12 $3 −$3 -100%
UFC 327: Jirí Procházka vs. Carlos Ulberg (Light Heavyweight, Main Car Apr 12 $15 −$15 -100%
UFC 327: Curtis Blaydes vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card) Apr 12 $16 −$11 -70%
UFC 327: Cub Swanson vs. Nate Landwehr (Featherweight, Prelims) Apr 12 $10 −$10 -100%
UFC 327: Paulo Costa vs. Azamat Murzakanov (Light Heavyweight, Main Ca Apr 12 $5 +$11 +226%
UFC 327: Kevin Holland vs. Randy Brown (Welterweight, Prelims) Apr 12 $6 −$6 -100%
UFC 327: Johnny Walker vs. Dominick Reyes (Light Heavyweight, Main Car Apr 12 $15 +$10 +69%
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026? Apr 12 $10 −$4 -36%
LoL: Movistar KOI vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Regular Season Apr 12 $10 −$10 -100%
LoL: FURIA Esports vs Leviatan Esports (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season Apr 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 57% −$34
other 15% −$3
crypto 14% −$38
world 12% −$39
politics 1% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 40¢ $5 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 40¢ $5 1h
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026? BUY Yes 7¢ $1 28d
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026? BUY Yes 29¢ $5 28d
Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 34d
Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw? BUY Yes 9¢ $5 34d
LoL: Movistar KOI vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Season BUY G2 Esports 76¢ $5 34d
UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card) SELL Joshua Van 100¢ $17 34d
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card) SELL Sean Strickland 100¢ $24 34d
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card) BUY Sean Strickland 21¢ $5 34d
UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card) BUY Joshua Van 40¢ $7 34d
UFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main C SELL Alexander Volkov 99¢ $12 34d
UFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main C BUY Alexander Volkov 57¢ $7 34d
UFC 328: Joaquin Buckley vs. Sean Brady (Welterweight, Main Card) SELL Sean Brady 100¢ $0 34d
UFC 328: Joaquin Buckley vs. Sean Brady (Welterweight, Main Card) BUY Joaquin Buckley 58¢ $5 34d
UFC 328: Joaquin Buckley vs. Sean Brady (Welterweight, Main Card) SELL Sean Brady 42¢ $5 34d
UFC 328: Joaquin Buckley vs. Sean Brady (Welterweight, Main Card) BUY Sean Brady 43¢ $5 34d
UFC 328: Jeremy Stephens vs. King Green (Lightweight, Main Card) SELL King Green 99¢ $3 34d
UFC 328: Jeremy Stephens vs. King Green (Lightweight, Main Card) BUY Jeremy Stephens 28¢ $3 34d
UFC 328: Jeremy Stephens vs. King Green (Lightweight, Main Card) BUY King Green 79¢ $2 34d
UFC 328: Jeremy Stephens vs. King Green (Lightweight, Main Card) SELL King Green 78¢ $2 34d
UFC 328: Ozzy Diaz vs. Ateba Gautier (Middleweight, Prelims) SELL Ateba Gautier 100¢ $2 34d
UFC 328: Jeremy Stephens vs. King Green (Lightweight, Main Card) BUY King Green 79¢ $2 34d
UFC 328: Ozzy Diaz vs. Ateba Gautier (Middleweight, Prelims) BUY Ateba Gautier 90¢ $2 34d
UFC 328: Yaroslav Amosov vs. Joel Álvarez (Welterweight, Prelims) BUY Joel Álvarez 37¢ $3 35d
UFC 328: Grant Dawson vs. Mateusz Rebecki (Lightweight, Prelims) SELL Grant Dawson 99¢ $9 35d
UFC 328: Grant Dawson vs. Mateusz Rebecki (Lightweight, Prelims) BUY Grant Dawson 58¢ $5 35d
UFC 328: Jim Miller vs. Jared Gordon (Lightweight, Prelims) BUY Jared Gordon 73¢ $5 35d
UFC 328: Roman Kopylov vs. Marco Tulio (Middleweight, Early Prelims) BUY Marco Tulio 60¢ $5 35d
UFC 328: Pat Sabatini vs. William Gomis (Featherweight, Early Prelims) BUY William Gomis 39¢ $5 35d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +30%
net ROI/market (all)-28.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d no closed markets
≤30d 2 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
≤90d 56 -20.6% -28.1% 30% 30% -32.3%
all 56 -20.6% -28.1% 30% 30% -32.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.5 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -28.1% 30% -32.3%
10% -35.0% 29% -38.8%
15% -41.3% 27% -44.7%
20% -47.0% 23% -50.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.12 · official $0.12 (match) · 131 history records