trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 20 | -44.0% | -49.3% | 15% | 15% | -51.3% |
| ≤30d | 20 | -44.0% | -49.3% | 15% | 15% | -51.3% |
| ≤90d | 20 | -44.0% | -49.3% | 15% | 15% | -51.3% |
| all | 20 | -44.0% | -49.3% | 15% | 15% | -51.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -49.3% | 15% | -51.3% |
| 10% ← realistic here | -54.2% | 15% | -56.0% |
| 15% | -58.6% | 15% | -60.3% |
| 20% | -62.7% | 15% | -64.1% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET | Down | 21¢ | 10¢ | $25 | $13 | −$12 (-50%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET | Jun 17 | $19 | −$18 | -94% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET | Jun 17 | $63 | −$60 | -95% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET | Jun 17 | $11 | −$10 | -94% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET | Jun 17 | $105 | +$27 | +26% |
| Will Warsh say "I Don't Know" during June Press Conference? | Jun 17 | $7 | −$7 | -93% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET | Jun 17 | $11 | −$10 | -94% |
| Will Warsh say "Predecessor" during June Press Conference? | Jun 17 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET | Jun 17 | $63 | −$60 | -95% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET | Jun 17 | $11 | −$10 | -94% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET | Jun 17 | $5 | +$26 | +490% |
| XRP Up or Down - June 17, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET | Jun 17 | $5 | −$5 | -95% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET | Jun 17 | $11 | −$10 | -94% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET | Jun 17 | $43 | +$80 | +187% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET | Jun 17 | $7 | −$7 | -94% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET | Jun 17 | $26 | −$26 | -100% |
| Will Warsh say "Trump" during June Press Conference? | Jun 17 | $74 | −$71 | -96% |
| Will Warsh say "Good Afternoon" during June Press Conference? | Jun 17 | $3 | −$3 | -96% |
| Will Warsh say "Pandemic" during June Press Conference? | Jun 17 | $1 | −$1 | -96% |
| Will Warsh say "Independence" during June Press Conference? | Jun 17 | $1 | −$1 | -96% |
| Will Warsh say "Jerome" or "Powell" during June Press Conference? | Jun 17 | $5 | −$5 | -96% |