trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -100.0% | -100.0% | 0% | 0% | -100.0% |
| ≤30d | 2 | +7.0% | -3.2% | 50% | 50% | -22.4% |
| ≤90d | 10 | +2.0% | -7.7% | 80% | 20% | -18.2% |
| all | 15 | +1.6% | -8.1% | 87% | 13% | -17.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -8.1% | 13% | -17.4% |
| 10% | -16.9% | 13% | -25.3% |
| 15% | -24.9% | 13% | -32.5% |
| 20% | -32.3% | 13% | -39.1% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will England win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $233 | −$229 | -98% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 09 | $153 | +$174 | +114% |
| Canadiens vs. Sabres | May 19 | $139 | +$141 | +101% |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of February? | May 18 | $11 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market ca | May 18 | $12 | $0 | +0% |
| Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31? | May 18 | $12 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31? | May 18 | $12 | $0 | +2% |
| Nothing Ever Happens: Jerome Powell Edition | May 18 | $13 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 1°C on March 6? | May 18 | $20 | $0 | +0% |
| Hornets vs. Magic | Apr 17 | $162 | −$160 | -99% |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of January 2026? | Feb 03 | $11 | $0 | +0% |
| Will there be at least 500 measles cases in the U.S. by January 31, 20 | Feb 03 | $12 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Silver (SI) settle over $120 on the final trading day of January | Feb 03 | $13 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the price of XRP be less than $1.60 on January 10? | Feb 03 | $32 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Meta reach $820 in December? | Jan 09 | $14 | $0 | +0% |