Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T13:35:22+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B1
0xb178…7073
other · 252 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$84 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$84 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$65
Realized−$84
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)4%
Wins / losses9 / 242
Whale WR (big bets)0%
Est. fees paid−$9
Open positions1
Markets (closed)251 / 252
History coverage130d
Avg bet$221
Trades / day9.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit62%
Chart Positions 1 History 251 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2
7 days−$12
14 days−$22
30 days−$36
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 98¢ 98¢ $66 $65 −$0 (-0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 13 $356 $0 -0%
Will New York City FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 12 $66 $0 -0%
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 12 $360 $0 -0%
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 11 $276 $0 -0%
Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2026 World Series? Jun 11 $211 $0 -0%
Will the Detroit Tigers win the 2026 World Series? Jun 11 $354 −$1 -0%
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 11 $219 $0 -0%
Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 10 $242 $0 -0%
Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series? Jun 10 $332 −$1 -0%
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Jun 10 $592 −$1 -0%
Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 10 $417 −$1 -0%
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 09 $141 $0 -0%
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Jun 09 $419 $0 -0%
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 09 $173 $0 -0%
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 09 $143 $0 -0%
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 08 $207 $0 -0%
Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2026 World Series? Jun 08 $339 −$1 -0%
Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 08 $73 $0 -0%
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 08 $463 −$1 -0%
Will the Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 07 $402 −$1 -0%
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 07 $176 $0 -0%
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 07 $374 $0 -0%
Will Real Salt Lake win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 06 $234 −$1 -0%
Will the New York Giants win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 06 $145 $0 -0%
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 06 $667 −$1 -0%
Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 06 $156 $0 -0%
Will the Kansas City Royals win the 2026 World Series? Jun 05 $571 −$1 -0%
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 04 $824 −$1 -0%
Will the San Diego Padres win the 2026 World Series? Jun 04 $451 −$1 -0%
Xi Jinping out by June 30? Jun 03 $404 −$1 -0%
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 03 $426 −$1 -0%
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 02 $554 −$1 -0%
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 02 $588 −$1 -0%
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 01 $401 $0 -0%
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 01 $1,126 −$1 -0%
Will Orlando City SC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 01 $145 $0 -0%
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? May 31 $230 $0 -0%
Will the Houston Astros win the 2026 World Series? May 30 $295 −$1 -0%
Will the Washington Commanders win the 2027 NFL league championship? May 30 $168 $0 -0%
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 30 $146 $0 -0%
Will New York Red Bulls win the 2026 MLS Cup? May 30 $384 −$1 -0%
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? May 29 $474 −$1 -0%
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL league championship? May 28 $227 $0 -0%
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 27 $300 $0 -0%
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 27 $279 −$1 -0%
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? May 26 $240 −$1 -0%
Will Mohammed bin Salman win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? May 26 $162 $0 -0%
Will the New York Mets win the 2026 World Series? May 26 $233 $0 -0%
Will Minnesota United FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? May 25 $76 $0 -0%
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 24 $512 −$1 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 44% −$38
sports 25% −$21
politics 11% −$8
economics 6% −$4
crypto 5% −$5
culture 5% −$5
world 3% −$2
tech 1% −$1
finance 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 98¢ $66 1h
Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? SELL No 99¢ $66 9h
Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? BUY No 99¢ $66 10h
Will New York City FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? SELL No 97¢ $66 23h
Will New York City FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? BUY No 97¢ $66 25h
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? SELL No 100¢ $66 34h
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $66 36h
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? SELL No 100¢ $66 37h
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? BUY No 100¢ $66 39h
Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 98¢ $66 44h
Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 99¢ $66 46h
Will the Detroit Tigers win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 99¢ $66 47h
Will the Detroit Tigers win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 99¢ $66 2d
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? SELL No 100¢ $66 2d
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $66 2d
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 98¢ $66 2d
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 98¢ $67 2d
Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? SELL No 99¢ $67 2d
Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? BUY No 99¢ $67 3d
Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 99¢ $67 3d
Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 99¢ $67 3d
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? SELL No 94¢ $67 3d
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? BUY No 94¢ $67 3d
Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 99¢ $67 3d
Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 99¢ $67 3d
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? SELL No 98¢ $67 3d
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? BUY No 98¢ $67 3d
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? SELL No 93¢ $67 3d
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? BUY No 93¢ $67 3d
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? SELL No 94¢ $67 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 25 -0.2% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.7%
≤30d 69 -0.2% -9.7% 1% 0% -9.7%
≤90d 183 -0.2% -9.7% 3% 0% -9.7%
all 251 -0.2% -9.7% 4% 0% -9.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover9.7 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.7% 0% -9.7%
10% -18.3% 0% -18.3%
15% -26.2% 0% -26.2%
20% -33.4% 0% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $65.49 · official $65.49 (match) · 1311 history records