Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T15:00:29+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B1
0xb176…567c
sports · 533 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$181 +4%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$219 · open −$38
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$152
Realized+$219
Unrealized−$38
Win rate (resolved)58%
Wins / losses297 / 214
Est. fees paid−$60
Open positions22
Markets (closed)511 / 533
History coverage186d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day13.3
Drawdown41%
Kalshi-fit92%
Chart Positions 22 History 511 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$71
7 days+$231
14 days+$238
30 days+$238
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu Emma Raducanu 72¢ 100¢ $26 $36 +$10 (+40%)
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Marcos Giron 59¢ 46¢ $45 $35 −$10 (-22%)
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Ben Shelton 48¢ 54¢ $20 $22 +$2 (+11%)
Ilkley: Alicia Dudeney vs Ashlyn Krueger Ashlyn Krueger 71¢ 94¢ $5 $7 +$2 (+33%)
Ilkley: Tatiana Prozorova vs Sinja Kraus Tatiana Prozorova 65¢ 100¢ $4 $6 +$2 (+53%)
Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley Jacob Fearnley 69¢ 68¢ $6 $6 −$0 (-3%)
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Atlanta Braves 51¢ 39¢ $6 $4 −$1 (-24%)
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees New York Yankees 51¢ 56¢ $4 $4 +$0 (+9%)
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik Alexander Bublik 64¢ 79¢ $3 $4 +$1 (+23%)
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Billy Harris Billy Harris 72¢ 70¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-2%)
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Billy Harris Dane Sweeny 38¢ 30¢ $4 $3 −$1 (-22%)
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Darwin Blanch Darwin Blanch 51¢ 36¢ $4 $3 −$1 (-29%)
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals 50¢ 48¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-3%)
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak Kamil Majchrzak 31¢ 28¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-9%)
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery Robin Montgomery 54¢ 41¢ $2 $2 −$1 (-24%)
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery Daria Snigur 60¢ 59¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-2%)
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova Iva Jovic 66¢ 66¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+1%)
Ilkley: Viktorija Golubic vs Katie Swan Katie Swan 66¢ 94¢ $1 $2 +$0 (+43%)
Cattolica: Raul Brancaccio vs Roberto Carballes Baena Roberto Carballes Baena 65¢ 84¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+28%)
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5) New York Yankees 64¢ 74¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+16%)
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard 37¢ 21¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-43%)
Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley Keegan Smith 30¢ 32¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+8%)
Ilkley: Tristan Schoolkate vs Oliver Tarvet Oliver Tarvet 48¢ 46¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-3%)
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 4.5 Over 9¢ 8¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-6%)
Ilkley: Alicia Dudeney vs Ashlyn Krueger Alicia Dudeney 12¢ 6¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-54%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova Jun 12 $78 +$12 +15%
Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alex de Minaur Jun 12 $12 $0 +0%
Ilkley: Lulu Sun vs Mary Stoiana Jun 12 $18 +$11 +62%
Ilkley: Arthur Gea vs Mark Lajal Jun 12 $14 −$11 -77%
Libema Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Magda Linette Jun 12 $8 +$9 +114%
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Jun 12 $33 +$3 +10%
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard Jun 12 $29 +$1 +4%
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska Jun 12 $80 +$18 +23%
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria Jun 12 $5 +$3 +48%
Bratislava: Zdenek Kolar vs Federico Cina Jun 12 $1 −$1 -99%
Modena: Dominika Salkova vs Katarzyna Kawa Jun 12 $13 +$13 +98%
Cattolica: Dusan Lajovic vs Oriol Roca Batalla Jun 12 $59 −$22 -37%
ITF Ceska Lipa: Julie Struplova vs Martha Matoula Jun 12 $6 −$1 -12%
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Maxim Mrva Jun 12 $1 +$1 +62%
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic Jun 12 $57 +$10 +18%
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino Jun 12 $8 −$2 -30%
Lyon: Dali Blanch vs David Jorda Sanchis Jun 12 $6 +$6 +112%
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Solana Sierra Jun 12 $26 +$6 +22%
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Gabriela Ruse Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $86 −$62 -72%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $20 +$6 +30%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $5 +$2 +44%
Korea Republic leading at halftime? Jun 12 $5 +$1 +25%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $8 +$10 +124%
Spread: Czechia (-2.5) Jun 12 $1 $0 +4%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $6 +$1 +10%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $1 +$2 +158%
Spread: Korea Republic (-1.5) Jun 12 $4 +$1 +18%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 4.5 Jun 12 $1 $0 +10%
Spread: Korea Republic (-2.5) Jun 12 $15 +$1 +5%
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) Jun 12 $13 +$2 +12%
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5) Jun 12 $1 +$3 +250%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 12 $17 −$6 -34%
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-3.5) Jun 12 $6 +$3 +57%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 12 $22 −$8 -38%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Draw at halftime? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -99%
Tucuman: Nicolas Kicker vs Nick Hardt Jun 12 $7 +$1 +20%
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5) Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-2.5) Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $19 +$3 +16%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5 Jun 11 $3 +$2 +86%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 10.5 Jun 11 $4 +$2 +44%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 11 $38 +$10 +26%
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $9 +$1 +10%
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? Jun 11 $2 $0 +12%
Tucuman: Thiago Cigarran vs Juan Estevez Jun 11 $39 +$12 +30%
Tucuman: Federico Coria vs Andrea Collarini Jun 11 $30 −$6 -22%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 9.5 Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5) Jun 11 $2 −$2 -98%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 13.5 Jun 11 $6 +$2 +27%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 93% +$275
other 7% −$94
world 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Marcos Giron 46¢ $2 0m
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Marcos Giron 41¢ $1 3m
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery BUY Robin Montgomery 74¢ $1 4m
Ilkley: Viktorija Golubic vs Katie Swan BUY Katie Swan 66¢ $1 6m
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Ben Shelton 53¢ $1 12m
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery BUY Daria Snigur 60¢ $2 16m
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Darwin Blanch BUY Darwin Blanch 42¢ $1 16m
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak BUY Kamil Majchrzak 32¢ $1 16m
Ilkley: Alicia Dudeney vs Ashlyn Krueger BUY Ashlyn Krueger 76¢ $1 21m
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Ben Shelton 54¢ $1 21m
Ilkley: Alicia Dudeney vs Ashlyn Krueger BUY Ashlyn Krueger 71¢ $2 24m
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak BUY Kamil Majchrzak 31¢ $1 24m
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Iva Jovic 66¢ $2 25m
Ilkley: Tristan Schoolkate vs Oliver Tarvet BUY Oliver Tarvet 48¢ $1 29m
Ilkley: Alicia Dudeney vs Ashlyn Krueger BUY Ashlyn Krueger 68¢ $1 29m
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Ben Shelton 61¢ $2 30m
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Ben Shelton 54¢ $1 30m
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Ben Shelton 60¢ $1 34m
Ilkley: Alicia Dudeney vs Ashlyn Krueger BUY Ashlyn Krueger 71¢ $1 35m
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Ben Shelton 56¢ $1 37m
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Marcos Giron 63¢ $1 38m
Ilkley: Elizabeth Mandlik vs Dalma Galfi BUY Dalma Galfi 39¢ $1 39m
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Kamilla Rakhimova 84¢ $4 39m
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Kamilla Rakhimova 77¢ $2 40m
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Ben Shelton 62¢ $1 42m
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Marcos Giron 39¢ $1 42m
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Kamilla Rakhimova 56¢ $2 42m
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Kamilla Rakhimova 56¢ $2 43m
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Kamilla Rakhimova 56¢ $1 43m
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Ben Shelton 68¢ $1 45m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)-10.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 497 -1.4% -10.8% 58% 47% -4.7%
≤30d 506 -0.9% -10.3% 58% 47% -4.6%
≤90d 506 -0.9% -10.3% 58% 47% -4.6%
all 511 -1.1% -10.5% 58% 47% -5.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover13.3 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.5% 47% -5.2%
10% -19.0% 35% -14.3%
15% -26.9% 26% -22.5%
20% -34.0% 19% -30.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $151.97 · official $152.20 (match) · 2867 history records