trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +41.6% | +28.1% | 100% | 100% | +28.1% |
| ≤30d | 2 | +115.0% | +94.5% | 100% | 100% | +58.0% |
| ≤90d | 8 | +64.0% | +48.3% | 100% | 50% | +73.5% |
| all | 15 | +20.8% | +9.3% | 80% | 27% | +67.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +9.3% | 27% | +67.0% |
| 10% | -1.1% | 27% | +51.1% |
| 15% | -10.7% | 27% | +36.5% |
| 20% | -19.4% | 20% | +23.1% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Austria win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $571 | +$238 | +42% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 06 | $166 | +$313 | +188% |
| Sabres vs. Canadiens | May 17 | $169 | +$237 | +140% |
| Will January 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record? | May 16 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of February? | May 16 | $10 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026? | May 16 | $11 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market ca | May 16 | $12 | $0 | +0% |
| Hornets vs. Magic | May 16 | $176 | +$246 | +140% |
| 2026 U.S. House Election: Republican Odds over 60% by March 31? | Mar 19 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 40-41°F on March 6? | Mar 05 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 23? | Feb 03 | $12 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Opendoor (OPEN) close above $0.00 end of January? | Feb 03 | $15 | $0 | +0% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting? | Feb 03 | $16 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Apple reach $340 in January? | Jan 15 | $17 | $0 | -1% |
| Nothing Ever Happens: Nuclear Edition | Jan 07 | $20 | $0 | +1% |