Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T03:50:55+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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score
B1 0xb16f…9bd7 crypto 880 markets active 1h ago coverage 92d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL −$259 (-1%) realized −$259 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -16% what you keep after slip
Net edge-16%after slip
Net WR21%break-even
Win rate92%809W / 71L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$37per market
Trades / day13.7pace
Fees−$4est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$85
7 days+$101
14 days+$156
30 days−$242
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 96% −$516
sports 4% +$121
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +21%
net ROI/market (all)-9.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 118 +2.8% -7.0% 88% 44% -5.7%
≤30d 795 +0.1% -9.4% 92% 20% -10.5%
≤90d 859 -0.3% -9.8% 92% 20% -10.9%
all 880 +0.1% -9.5% 92% 21% -10.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover13.7 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.5% 21% -10.6%
10% -18.1% 8% -19.2%
15% -26.0% 4% -27.0%
20% -33.3% 2% -34.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 6% · top 2 10% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
75% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +0% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -1% → late +1% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.3 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$33 · ×0.07 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.83 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

92d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$259
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)92%
Wins / losses809 / 71
Est. fees paid−$4
Open positions0
Markets (closed)880 / 880
History coverage92d
Avg bet$37
Trades / day13.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 880 Trades
no open positions (65 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 17 $5 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 17 $5 +$2 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 17 $50 −$49 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 17 $50 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 17 $50 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 17 $50 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 16 $4 +$1 +15%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$2 +38%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$2 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 16 $55 −$54 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 16 $50 +$3 +6%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$2 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 16 $50 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 16 $50 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 16 $50 +$3 +5%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 16 $4 +$2 +55%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 16 $4 +$2 +42%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$3 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 16 $50 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 16 $50 +$4 +8%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 16 $5 +$2 +42%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -98%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 15 $5 +$2 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 15 $50 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 15 $55 +$18 +32%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 15 $5 +$2 +51%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$4 -98%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -98%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -98%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 15 $5 +$2 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 15 $5 +$1 +19%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 15 $31 −$30 -98%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 15 $4 +$2 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 15 $5 +$2 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +3%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Majo Jun 14 $303 +$120 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 14 $54 +$9 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 14 $50 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 14 $55 +$10 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 14 $50 +$9 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 14 $50 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 14 $55 +$11 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$3 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 14 $50 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 14 $56 −$54 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +33%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $5 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $5 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $50 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $50 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $4 7h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $5 12h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $5 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $5 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $50 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $50 13h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $5 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $50 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $50 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $50 14h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $4 17h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $4 18h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $5 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $5 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $50 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $50 25h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $5 27h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $5 29h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $5 29h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $50 31h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $5 31h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $50 31h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $5 34h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $5 34h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2062 history records